Home Health Stocks Slump in October – But Likely Not for Long
Home Health Stocks Slump in October — But Likely Not for Long
Home health stocks were down across the board in October, according to the latest Home Health Index (HHI) from Stoneridge Partners. That’s likely to change soon, however, thanks largely to the better-than-expected final payment rule for calendar year 2020, released by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) on Oct. 31.
The monthly HHI from Stoneridge Partners tracks the stock values of Amedisys Inc. (Nasdaq: AMED) and LHC Group (Nasdaq: LHCG), two of the largest publicly traded home health companies in the U.S.
Stock values for Baton Rouge, Louisiana-based Amedisys were down 2.21% in October compared to September. Meanwhile, stock values for Lafayette, Louisiana-based LHC Group were down 2.98% in October compared to the previous month.
Those performances led to an HHI that was down 2.57%, marking one of the relatively rare instances this year when home health stocks fell behind the broader market. The S&P 500 was up 1.77% in October over September.
Already, stock values for Amedisys and LHC Group are showing signs of a November turnaround, rallying after CMS recently released the 2020 final rule.
“When CMS released the final rule, it also lowered the behavioral adjustment included in the Patient-Driven Groupings Model,” Stoneridge Partners President Rich Tinsley said. “Specifically, they reduced the behavioral adjustment from 8.01% to 4.36%. That’s still a hefty cut, but a much more manageable one, especially for the big home health providers like Amedisys and LHC Group.”
In addition to the decreased behavioral adjustment, Amedisys and LHC Group also stand to gain from CMS’s decision to eliminate home health pre-payments, which many smaller providers use to stay in business.
“Phasing out the Request for Anticipated Payment (RAP) is likely going to create a lot of M&A opportunities for the major home health players moving forward,” Tinsley said.
While it does not include the company in its monthly HHI, Stoneridge also tracks the stock performance of Frisco, Texas-based Addus HomeCare Corporation. Unlike Amedisys and LHC Group, Addus stock climbed 5.96% in October compared to September.
Despite the down month, the HHI was up still up 13.89% on a year-to-date basis, according to Stoneridge.
Quote Of The Month
“We need to define what palliative care is in the marketplace and whether it’s a community-based palliative care benefit, and it can’t be that you ask 10 different people what palliative care is and you get 13 different answers,” said Nick Westfall, CEO of VITAS Healthcare, the hospice subsidiary of Chemed Corp.
Read the Full Article Here: Lack of Palliative Care Definition Impacts Patients, Hospice Business
See It To Believe It!
The Stoneridge Partners Home Health Index (HH Index) is updated monthly and measures the performance of these two publicly traded home health companies, all listed on the NASDAQ:
- LHC Group (LHCG)
- Amedisys (AMED)
This graph compares the percentage of the Home Health Index to the percentage change in the S&P 500 Index going back to 2002.
This is a 12 month trailing chart of the HH Index compared to the actual prices of the individual companies that make up the chart.
This graph displays HH Index performance since 2002.
This graph compares the HH Index to the price of Addus stock (non-Medicare).
(Home Health Index November 2019 | Stoneridge Partners)
Here are the results of the stock prices for the past two years:
|Company||10/31/19||1 mos change||YTD change||10/31/18||10/31/17|
Although we track the performance of Addus, they are not included in our HH Index because very little of their revenue comes from Medicare.
Enterprise Value (EV)
|EV (in M)||10/31/19||10/31/18||10/31/17|
|HH Index Total||8540||6790||3712|
Enterprise Value (EV), aka Selling Price, as Percent of Revenue
|HH Index Average*||219%||232%||118%|
Multiples of EV/EBITDA
Think of this as selling price as a multiple of EBITDA.
|HH Index Average*||21.83||27.43||16.19|
The above calculations are based on selling price being defined as Enterprise Value (EV), with data provided by Capital IQ. Enterprise value is defined as market cap plus debt, minority interest and preferred shares, minus total cash and cash equivalents. EBITDA is calculated using methodology which may differ from that used by a company for its reporting. (Home Health Index November 2019 | Stoneridge Partners)
Recent Transactions From Around The Country
- Optalis Healthcare acquired five Beaumont-affiliated nursing facilities to expand in SE Michigan
- Discovery Behavioral Health, a national mental health services provider based in Orange County, California acquired New Life Addiction Counseling & Mental Health Services, an outpatient treatment facility near Baltimore
- Missouri Home Hospice, LLC acquired Missouri-based Transitions Hospice
CLOSED by Stoneridge
- Stoneridge Partners, Associate Partner Coley McDevitt represented a $3.5 million private care home health business in Miami, Florida that closed October 2019
Exclusively Listed For Sale By Stoneridge Partners
|State||Agency Profile||Status||Reference Number
|Arizona||$2+ million home care agency in Southern Arizona. Diverse payor sources (Medicaid/Private Pay/ W/C. Diverse referral sources. Great reputation.||Available|
|Arizona||Opportunity to establish hospice in Phoenix area. ACHC accredited.||Available|
|California||$11 million multi-location addiction treatment center. Located in Southern California. 21% bottom line. Strong growth trends. JCAHO accredited.||Available|
|California||Medicare certified Home Health agency that was established in 2003. $2 million annual revenue in 2018. PDGM revenue neutral. Located in Southern California. Clean business with no ADR's.||Available|
|Colorado||Opportunity to establish Medicare home health agency. Denver market. ACHC accreditation until 2022.||Available|
|Connecticut||$6 million Medicaid/Medicare agency. Nice growth trend. Stable margins, great surveys.||Available|
|East||Opportunity to buy a leading franchisor in the assisted living referral space. 10+ existing franchisees. Perfect business for the entrepreneur who can scale a predictable, simple and low expense business. 3 year average income of $134,000. Owner near retirement.||Available|
|Florida||Medicare certified home health agency. Approx. $3.8 million revenue with 17% bottom line. District 9 & 10. Revenues split evenly between districts. Accredited. 4.5 star quality of patient care rating||Available|
|Florida||$1.5 million non-skilled private duty home health business. Strong management team in place. District 1. CHAP Accredited.||Available|
|Georgia||ID/DD Services. $1 million revenue. Residential and Day Services. Atlanta Suburb.||Available|
|Illinois||$5.5 million accredited Medicare agency located in northeastern Illinois. Strong bottom line. 4 1/2 star rating by CMS.||Available|
|Louisiana||Boutique full service clinical laboratory specializing in preventative diagnostic testing.|
Medicare & Medicaid certified, and insurance contracts in over 20 Southeast States. Several unique programs and innovative technologies.
|Maryland/DC/Virginia||Opportunity to establish a Medicare home health agency. N. Virginia with large service area. Low census, motivated seller.||Available|
|Massachusetts||Medicare and Medicaid certified Home Health agency. |
$13+ million in annual revenue and growing. Diverse payor mix. Strong Management in place. Accredited.
|Massachusetts||Medicare/Medicaid Home Health Agency. Motivated seller in western MA. $7.5 million annual revenue. Great add-on for existing provider.||Available|
|Michigan||Medicare home health and hospice agency. $10 million annual revenue. Attractive referral relationships.||Available|
|Michigan||$2 million ID/DD. Profitable. Existing management team in place. Greater Detroit area.||Available|
|Michigan||$1.5 million private duty home health agency in eastern Michigan. Profitable and well positioned for additional growth. Self-sufficient staff in place. 82 long-term clients.||Available|
|Minnesota||$9 million Medicaid agency. Consistent growth & profitability. Recent rate increase. Attractive Medicaid margin.||Available|
|Multi-State||Well-established pediatric provider. Revenue over $40 million. Medicaid and insurance.||Available|
|Nevada||Medicare certified home health agency. Approx. $1 million in annual revenue. Accredited. Las Vegas area.||Available|
|New York||LHCSA in five boroughs. Approx. $20 million revenue. Long history in the community.||Available|
|New Mexico||$2.5 million New Mexico home health agency. 87% Medicare. Long history in the community. Staff in place.||Available|
|North Carolina||$1 million ID/DD Agency. Long-term client base. Growth potential with real estate. Strong margins.||Available|
|South||28 bed, IOP capacity of 40, full continuum SUD treatment center, dual diagnosis, pending JCAHO. $4+ million revenue, highly competitive in network contracts, average census of 30. Existing marketing relationships with county, parole, local hospitals, churches and universities. Solid business in desirable location, little competition, good opportunity.||Available|
|South||Full continuum, JCAHO accredited, co-occurring, SUD treatment center on 100+ acre horse ranch. 16 beds, 22 staff. $1.5 million EBITDA on $3.5 million revenue. In-network. Good reputation, great contracts/rates, solid opportunity. Census is great.||Available|
|South||National growth opportunity. No direct competition for niche market. Unique program and strong branding. PHP/IOP with census and revenue growth. Seeking strategic partner||Available|
|Southwest||$5+ million outpatient treatment center. Fully accredited. 37 beds. Recently revamped to increase growth and margin. Great census, UR, acquisition and solid numbers. Out of network and transitioning some in network.||Available|
|Southwest||64 bed full continuum treatment center in 2 Southwest US metropolitan cities.|
$4 million pro forma EBITDA run rate. 3rd location set to open May 2019. Run rate based on 30% occupancy with significant growth expected. Strong infrastructure to support growth trajectory.
|South-Atlantic||$12+ million in annual revenue. Home Health Agency (HHA) and Adult Day Care Center (ADC). HHA (represents 85% of revenue). ADC (represents 15% of revenue). HHA is primarily Medicaid business but is Medicare-certified. Accredited.||Available|
|South Texas||Hospice. $3.5 million in annual revenue. Accredited. Clean: No cap or regulatory issues.||Available|
|Tennessee||Very rare opportunity in a CON state. Located in Davidson County in Nashville, TN. Projected 2019 revenue in excess of $800,000.||Available|
|Texas||Three Hospice companies with affiliated home health. $6 million total revenue. South, South Central, and South East Texas locations.||Available|
|Texas||$5.3 million Medicaid agency in San Antonio, TX. 16.5% EBITDA. CHAP accredited. Staff in place for a smooth transition.||Available|
|Texas||$4 million home health agency. Dallas/Ft. Worth based. Full staff in place. Medicare and managed care with great contacts.||Available|
|Texas||$3.5 million Medicare certified home health agency. Located in San Antonio, TX. Fully staffed & CHAP accredited. Branch office included in sale||Available|
|Texas||Medicare home health agency and hospice. San Antonio, Dallas, Austin. $3 million revenue, multiple provider numbers. Great opportunity for existing Texas providers.||Available|
|Texas||$2.6 million revenue Home Health agency in East Texas. Great local reputation, with strong financials. 2018 adjusted EBITDA $606,000. Has second license with minimal census available.||Available|
|Texas||$1.7 million Medicare home health agency. Located in Southwest Houston. Well-established with predictable referral sources. Very profitable.||Available|
|Texas||$1 million Medicare certified agency. Licensed in 7 counties in the Houston area. 80% is traditional Medicare.||Available|
|Texas||Home Health agency in Texas. Near Sam Houston National Forest. Clean license with minimal census and minimal revenue.||Available|
|USA||New software application. Potential investment opportunity. Great test results.|
Helps connect those in recovery socially. Helps connect therapists to patients. Facilitates total successful recovery and gathers important helpful data.
|Virginia||$6 million Medicare certified agency in Northern Virginia.||Available|
|Virginia||$2.3 million revenue Physical Therapy and Wellness operation. 95% cash pay. Potential to franchise Nationwide. 2018 EBITDA $257,000.||Available|
|West||Premier provider of primary mental health services for adolescents aged 13-18. 2 locations. In process of growing in-network contracts.||Available|
|East||Healthcare testing laboratory. $7 million revenue, $4 million EBITDA. 16 employees, multiple state licenses.||Under Contract||
|Florida||$9.5 million Home Health Agency. Very strong operationally, clinically, and financially. 99% of revenue comes from traditional Medicare.||Under Contract||
|Florida||Medicare/Medicaid certified home health agency. $2.5 million annual revenue. 5-star. Accredited. District 10.||Under Contract||
|Illinois||Hospice. Census in mid-70's. Accredited. Chicago area.||Under Contract||
|Kentucky||Medication-assisted clinic. IOP counseling for substance abuse and co-occurring disorders. Profitable with strong team in place. 150 clients. 95% Medicaid.||Under Contract||
|Kentucky||Medication-assisted Treatment center. Suboxone only. Strategic location between Louisville and Lexington, Kentucky. Great reputation with strong clinical team in place. 110 clients with room to expand and grow, minimal marketing. In-network contracts. Clients come in twice a month and pay $150 per visit for counseling. Owners are near retirement and will help with the transition.||Under Contract||
|New York||$13 million revenue LHCSA. 30-year history. Licensed in all 5 boroughs.||Under Contract||
|North Carolina||$5 million Medicaid agency. CAP/PCS services. Long history, quality services.||Under Contract||
|Pacific Northwest||Full continuum in Washington State. $3,625,000. revenue with $1,100,000 EBITDA. States has moved from BHO to MCO for Medicaid. Co-occurring, Medicaid paid, 40 bed facility, 40 employees, census is very strong.|
Outpatient is full. Opportunity for marketing. SUD mental health gambling. Equine therapy and other perks.
|Southwest||$25 million in annual revenue. Provider of Waiver and ICF ID/DD Services. Statewide Platform. Strong management team. Excellent reputation for quality services.||Under Contract||
|Texas||$5.3 million all Medicaid Home Care company located in Houston, TX. 20%+ year over year revenue growth since 2016. Nice bottom line.||Under Contract||
|Texas||$3+ million hospice agency based in Dallas/Fort Worth. Well established. Clinically clean and growing. Full staff in place.||Under Contract||
|Texas||$2.2 million Dallas-area Medicare home health agency. 22% bottom line. Well-established with a very clean compliance record. Full management team in place.||Under Contract||
|Texas||$1.4 million revenue pediatric therapy business. Company provides Physical Therapy (PT), Occupational Therapy (OT), and Speech Therapy (ST) to disadvantaged and disabled children in near a major metropolitan city in Texas and the surrounding counties. Positive reputation for providing quality help in an environment comfortable to the child. Founded in January 2008 as an investment for the owner. Average census is 190 patients with a goal of 225 for calendar year 2019.||Under Contract||
Do you know of any acquisitions that have taken place? We are interested in your comments. At the top of this column is a “Contact Tab” with a section for comments. These can be sent anonymously and the return email address can be left blank.
Another Cartoon Favorite
Home Health Index November 2019 | Stoneridge Partners