Home Health Care Stocks Post Solid Response to PDGM
Home Health Care Stocks Post Solid Response to PDGM
July kicked off with big news for home health agencies when the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) floated plans to both increase payments and overhaul the current prospective payment system with its new Patient-Driven Groupings Model (PDGM).
Overall, positives for the industry appear to have outweighed the negatives as home health care stocks performed strongly in July, according to the latest update of the Home Health Index by Stoneridge Partners.
The Index tracks market values of two of the nation’s largest publicly traded home health care companies: Amedisys (Nasdaq: AMED) and LHC Group (Nasdaq: LHCG).
Largely buoyed by the success of Nashville, Tennessee-based Amedisys, the Index jumped 14.96% in July over the previous month. In doing so, the Index dramatically outpaced the S&P 500, which gained 4.28% and the S&P showed signs of recovery after a down June.
“The proposed payment rule from CMS is projected to increase Medicare payments to home health agencies in calendar year 2019 by $400 million, or 2.1%, so that’s certainly a good sign for providers,” Stoneridge Partners President Rich Tinsley said. “And even though there are still important concerns regarding PDGM, it is a step forward from the Home Health Groupings Model, mainly in the sense that PDGM offers budget neutrality even after CMS’s 2019 2.1% increase.”
Amedisys’ stock climbed 22.98% in July compared to the previous month. Year to date, Amedisys’ stock more than doubled, increasing by 102.28%.
Lafayette, Louisiana-based LHC Group’s stock in July increased by a more modest 6.81%. Year to date, LHC Group’s share value was up 48.82%.
If included in CMS’ final rule, PDGM would be implemented Jan. 1, 2020. Among its major points, PDGM would change the 60-day episode of care unit of payment to 30 days and also stop the practice of using the number of therapy visits provided by home health agencies to determine payment.
In general, Amedisys and LHC Group leadership has expressed confidence in the wake of PDGM, while stating that their respective companies will continue to closely monitor updates related to CMS’ new model.
“This is something the industry was mostly prepared for,” Tinsley said.
Besides Amedisys and LHC Group, the Index also tracks Frisco, Texas-based Addus HomeCare Corporation (Nasdaq: ADUS), though it does not include the company in its monthly report. Most of Addus’ revenue comes from Medicaid and not Medicare.
Addus’ stock increased 18.25% in July compared to the previous month. Year to date, Addus’ stock prices were up 92.67%.
Quote Of The Month
“Health care consumers—especially those living with chronic conditions—need to be empowered with home-based solutions that can help them stay healthier, out of the hospital, and living safely and comfortably in their own homes.” – Humana spokesperson
Read the Full Article Here: Humana Highlights Home Health’s Value in Reducing Hospital Readmissions
See It To Believe It!
The Stoneridge Partners Home Health Index (HH Index) is updated monthly and measures the performance of these two publicly traded home health companies, all listed on the NASDAQ:
- LHC Group (LHCG)
- Amedisys (AMED)
This graph compares the percentage of the Home Health Index to the percentage change in the S&P 500 Index going back to 2002.
This is a 12 month trailing chart of the HH Index compared to the actual prices of the individual companies that make up the chart.
This graph displays HH Index performance since 2002.
This graph compares the HH Index to the price of Addus stock (non-Medicare).
(Home Health Index August 2018 | Stoneridge Partners)
Here are the results of the stock prices for the past two years:
|Company||7/31/18||1 mos change||YTD change||7/31/17||7/31/16|
Although we track the performance of Addus, they are not included in our HH Index because very little of their revenue comes from Medicare.
Enterprise Value (EV)
|EV (in M)||7/31/18||7/31/17||7/31/16|
|HH Index Total||6110||4530||3341|
Enterprise Value (EV), aka Selling Price, as Percent of Revenue
|HH Index Average*||237%||117%||117%|
Multiples of EV/EBITDA
Think of this as selling price as a multiple of EBITDA.
|HH Index Average*||26.29||17.65||15.78|
The above calculations are based on selling price being defined as Enterprise Value (EV), with data provided by Capital IQ. Enterprise value is defined as market cap plus debt, minority interest and preferred shares, minus total cash and cash equivalents. EBITDA is calculated using methodology which may differ from that used by a company it’s reporting. (Home Health Index August 2018 | Stoneridge Partners)
Recent Transactions From Around The Country
- Wellforce, the parent company of Tufts Medical Center, will acquire Home Health Foundation as it expands out of state.
- Optimal Health Services, a provider in hospice and home health services was acquired by Bristol Hospice.
- Delphi Behavioral Health Group, a leading nationwide provider of addiction and detox treatment programs, acquired Family Recovery Specialist of Miami, Florida.
Exclusively Listed For Sale By Stoneridge Partners
|State||Agency Profile||Status||Reference Number|
|Arizona||Opportunity to establish hospice in Phoenix area. ACHC accredited.||Available|
|California||$11 million multi-location addiction treatment center. Located in Southern California. 21% bottom line. Strong growth trends. JCAHO accredited.||Available|
|California||Medicare certified Home Health agency that was established in 2003. $2 million annual revenue in 2018. PDGM revenue neutral. Located in Southern California. Clean business with no ADR's.||Available|
|Colorado||Opportunity to establish Medicare home health agency. Denver market. ACHC accreditation until 2022.||Available|
|Florida||Medicare certified home health agency. Approx. $3.8 million revenue with 17% bottom line. District 9 & 10. Revenues split evenly between districts. Accredited. 4.5 star quality of patient care rating||Available|
|Georgia||ID/DD Services. $1 million revenue. Residential and Day Services. Atlanta Suburb.||Available|
|Illinois||$5.5 million accredited Medicare agency located in northeastern Illinois. Strong bottom line. 4 1/2 star rating by CMS.||Available|
|Louisiana||Boutique full service clinical laboratory specializing in preventative diagnostic testing.|
Medicare & Medicaid certified, and insurance contracts in over 20 Southeast States. Several unique programs and innovative technologies.
|Massachusetts||Medicare and Medicaid certified Home Health agency. |
$13+ million in annual revenue and growing. Diverse payor mix. Strong Management in place. Accredited.
|Massachusetts||Medicare/Medicaid Home Health Agency. Motivated seller in western MA. $7.5 million annual revenue. Great add-on for existing provider.||Available|
|Michigan||Medicare home health and hospice agency. $10 million annual revenue. Attractive referral relationships.||Available|
|Michigan||$2 million ID/DD. Profitable. Existing management team in place. Greater Detroit area.||Available|
|Michigan||$1.5 million private duty home health agency in eastern Michigan. Profitable and well positioned for additional growth. Self-sufficient staff in place. 82 long-term clients.||Available|
|Mid-Atlantic||$10+ million home care agency. Non-skilled, primarily Medicaid reimbursed. 20% EBITDA margins. Strong management team in place.||Available|
|Multi-State||Well-established pediatric provider. Revenue over $40 million. Medicaid and insurance.||Available|
|Nevada||Medicare certified home health agency. Approx. $1 million in annual revenue. Accredited. Las Vegas area.||Available|
|New Mexico||Home health and hospice. $15 million annual revenue. Revenue split: 2/3 Home health and 1/3 Hospice. Medicare/Medicaid certified. Accredited.||Available|
|New York||LHCSA in five boroughs. Approx. $20 million revenue. Long history in the community.||Available|
|New York||$13 million revenue LHCSA. 30-year history. Licensed in all 5 boroughs.||Available|
|New Mexico||$2.5 million New Mexico home health agency. 87% Medicare. Long history in the community. Staff in place.||Available|
|North Carolina||$1 million ID/DD Agency. Long-term client base. Growth potential with real estate. Strong margins.||Available|
|Oklahoma||Medicare certified home health organization. $9.6 million in annual revenue. 98% traditional Medicare and other PPS Payors. Medicare/Medicaid certification. Multiple locations.||Available|
|South||28 bed, IOP capacity of 40, full continuum SUD treatment center, dual diagnosis, pending JCAHO. $4+ million revenue, highly competitive in network contracts, average census of 30. Existing marketing relationships with county, parole, local hospitals, churches and universities. Solid business in desirable location, little competition, good opportunity.||Available|
|South||Full continuum, JCAHO accredited, co-occurring, SUD treatment center on 100+ acre horse ranch. 16 beds, 22 staff. $1.5 million EBITDA on $3.5 million revenue. In-network. Good reputation, great contracts/rates, solid opportunity. Census is great.||Available|
|South||National growth opportunity. No direct competition for niche market. Unique program and strong branding. PHP/IOP with census and revenue growth. Seeking strategic partner||Available|
|Southwest||$5+ million outpatient treatment center. Fully accredited. 37 beds. Recently revamped to increase growth and margin. Great census, UR, acquisition and solid numbers. Out of network and transitioning some in network.||Available|
|Southwest||64 bed full continuum treatment center in 2 Southwest US metropolitan cities.|
$4 million pro forma EBITDA run rate. 3rd location set to open May 2019. Run rate based on 30% occupancy with significant growth expected. Strong infrastructure to support growth trajectory.
|South-Atlantic||$12+ million in annual revenue. Home Health Agency (HHA) and Adult Day Care Center (ADC). HHA (represents 85% of revenue). ADC (represents 15% of revenue). HHA is primarily Medicaid business but is Medicare-certified. Accredited.||Available|
|South Texas||Hospice. $3.5 million in annual revenue. Accredited. Clean: No cap or regulatory issues.||Available|
|Tennessee||Very rare opportunity in a CON state. Located in Davidson County in Nashville, TN. Projected 2019 revenue in excess of $800,000.||Available|
|Texas||$5.3 million Medicaid agency in San Antonio, TX. 16.5% EBITDA. CHAP accredited. Staff in place for a smooth transition.||Available|
|Texas||$5.3 million all Medicaid Home Care company located in Houston, TX. 20%+ year over year revenue growth since 2016. Nice bottom line.||Available|
|Texas||$5 million revenue. Home health and hospice covering 10 counties in West Texas/Eastern New Mexico. No clinical issues, under CAP. Very profitable. Easily separated.||Available|
|Texas||$4 million home health agency. Dallas/Ft. Worth based. Full staff in place. Medicare and managed care with great contacts.||Available|
|Texas||$3.5 million Medicare certified home health agency. Located in San Antonio, TX. Fully staffed & CHAP accredited. Branch office included in sale||Available|
|Texas||$1.7 million Medicare home health agency. Located in Southwest Houston. Well-established with predictable referral sources. Very profitable.||Available|
|Texas||$1 million Medicare certified agency. Licensed in 7 counties in the Houston area. 80% is traditional Medicare.||Available|
|USA||New software application. Potential investment opportunity. Great test results.|
Helps connect those in recovery socially. Helps connect therapists to patients. Facilitates total successful recovery and gathers important helpful data.
|Virginia||$6 million Medicare certified agency in Northern Virginia.||Available|
|Virginia||$2.3 million revenue Physical Therapy and Wellness operation. 95% cash pay. Potential to franchise Nationwide. 2018 EBITDA $257,000.||Available|
|West||Premier provider of primary mental health services for adolescents aged 13-18. 2 locations. In process of growing in-network contracts.||Available|
|East||Healthcare testing laboratory. $7 million revenue, $4 million EBITDA. 16 employees, multiple state licenses.||Under Contract|
|Florida||$9.5 million Home Health Agency. Very strong operationally, clinically, and financially. 99% of revenue comes from traditional Medicare.||Under Contract|
|Florida||Medicare/Medicaid certified home health agency. $2.5 million annual revenue. 5-star. Accredited. District 10.||Under Contract|
|Kentucky||Medication-assisted clinic. IOP counseling for substance abuse and co-occurring disorders. Profitable with strong team in place. 150 clients. 95% Medicaid.||Under Contract|
|Kentucky||Medication-assisted Treatment center. Suboxone only. Strategic location between Louisville and Lexington, Kentucky. Great reputation with strong clinical team in place. 110 clients with room to expand and grow, minimal marketing. In-network contracts. Clients come in twice a month and pay $150 per visit for counseling. Owners are near retirement and will help with the transition.||Under Contract|
|North Carolina||$5 million Medicaid agency. CAP/PCS services. Long history, quality services.||Under Contract|
|Pacific Northwest||Full continuum in Washington State. $3,625,000. revenue with $1,100,000 EBITDA. States has moved from BHO to MCO for Medicaid. Co-occurring, Medicaid paid, 40 bed facility, 40 employees, census is very strong.|
Outpatient is full. Opportunity for marketing. SUD mental health gambling. Equine therapy and other perks.
|Southwest||$25 million in annual revenue. Provider of Waiver and ICF ID/DD Services. Statewide Platform. Strong management team. Excellent reputation for quality services.||Under Contract|
|Texas||Three Hospice companies with affiliated home health. $6 million total revenue. South, South Central, and South East Texas locations.||Under Contract|
|Texas||$3+ million hospice agency based in Dallas/Fort Worth. Well established. Clinically clean and growing. Full staff in place.||Under Contract|
|Texas||$1.4 million revenue pediatric therapy business. Company provides Physical Therapy (PT), Occupational Therapy (OT), and Speech Therapy (ST) to disadvantaged and disabled children in near a major metropolitan city in Texas and the surrounding counties. Positive reputation for providing quality help in an environment comfortable to the child. Founded in January 2008 as an investment for the owner. Average census is 190 patients with a goal of 225 for calendar year 2019.||Under Contract|
Do you know of any acquisitions that have taken place? We are interested in your comments. At the top of this column is a “Contact Tab” with a section for comments. These can be sent anonymously and the return email address can be left blank.
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Home Health Index August 2018 | Stoneridge Partners