Home Health Index | 2018 AUGUST UPDATE

Home Health Care Stocks Post Solid Response to PDGM

Home Health Care Stocks Post Solid Response to PDGM

July kicked off with big news for home health agencies when the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) floated plans to both increase payments and overhaul the current prospective payment system with its new Patient-Driven Groupings Model (PDGM).

Overall, positives for the industry appear to have outweighed the negatives as home health care stocks performed strongly in July, according to the latest update of the Home Health Index by Stoneridge Partners.

The Index tracks market values of two of the nation’s largest publicly traded home health care companies: Amedisys (Nasdaq: AMED) and LHC Group (Nasdaq: LHCG).

Largely buoyed by the success of Nashville, Tennessee-based Amedisys, the Index jumped 14.96% in July over the previous month. In doing so, the Index dramatically outpaced the S&P 500, which gained 4.28% and the S&P showed signs of recovery after a down June.

“The proposed payment rule from CMS is projected to increase Medicare payments to home health agencies in calendar year 2019 by $400 million, or 2.1%, so that’s certainly a good sign for providers,” Stoneridge Partners President Rich Tinsley said. “And even though there are still important concerns regarding PDGM, it is a step forward from the Home Health Groupings Model, mainly in the sense that PDGM offers budget neutrality even after CMS’s 2019 2.1% increase.”

Amedisys’ stock climbed 22.98% in July compared to the previous month. Year to date, Amedisys’ stock more than doubled, increasing by 102.28%.

Lafayette, Louisiana-based LHC Group’s stock in July increased by a more modest 6.81%. Year to date, LHC Group’s share value was up 48.82%.

If included in CMS’ final rule, PDGM would be implemented Jan. 1, 2020. Among its major points, PDGM would change the 60-day episode of care unit of payment to 30 days and also stop the practice of using the number of therapy visits provided by home health agencies to determine payment.

In general, Amedisys and LHC Group leadership has expressed confidence in the wake of PDGM, while stating that their respective companies will continue to closely monitor updates related to CMS’ new model.

“This is something the industry was mostly prepared for,” Tinsley said.

Besides Amedisys and LHC Group, the Index also tracks Frisco, Texas-based Addus HomeCare Corporation (Nasdaq: ADUS), though it does not include the company in its monthly report. Most of Addus’ revenue comes from Medicaid and not Medicare.

Addus’ stock increased 18.25% in July compared to the previous month. Year to date, Addus’ stock prices were up 92.67%.

Quote Of The Month 

“Health care consumers—especially those living with chronic conditions—need to be empowered with home-based solutions that can help them stay healthier, out of the hospital, and living safely and comfortably in their own homes.” – Humana spokesperson

Read the Full Article Here: Humana Highlights Home Health’s Value in Reducing Hospital Readmissions

See It To Believe It!

The Stoneridge Partners Home Health Index (HH Index) is updated monthly and measures the performance of these two publicly traded home health companies, all listed on the NASDAQ:

  • LHC Group (LHCG)
  • Amedisys (AMED)

This graph compares the percentage of the Home Health Index to the percentage change in the S&P 500 Index going back to 2002.


This is a 12 month trailing chart of the HH Index compared to the actual prices of the individual companies that make up the chart.

This graph displays HH Index performance since 2002.


This graph compares the HH Index to the price of Addus stock (non-Medicare).
(Home Health Index August 2018 | Stoneridge Partners)

 

Here are the results of the stock prices for the past two years:

Company 7/31/18 1 mos change YTD change 7/31/17 7/31/16
Amedisys 106.62 +22.98% +102.28% 47.36 54.49
LHC Group 91.15 +6.81% +48.82% 57.9 45.39
HH Index* 98.89 +14.96% +75.22% 51.57 46.73
S&P 500 2822.74 +4.28% +5.58% 2470.3 2173.6
Addus 67.05 +18.25% +92.67% 33.95 18.45

Although we track the performance of Addus, they are not included in our HH Index because very little of their revenue comes from Medicare.

 

Enterprise Value (EV)

EV (in M) 7/31/18 7/31/17 7/31/16
Amedisys 3100 1556 1890
LHC Group 3010 1137 911
HH Index Total 6110 4530 3341
Addus 634 399 232


Enterprise Value (EV), aka Selling Price, as Percent of Revenue

Company 7/31/18 7/31/17 7/31/16
Amedisys 201% 105% 144%
LHC Group 272% 121% 110%
HH Index Average* 237% 117% 117%
Addus 149% 97% 67%


Multiples of EV/EBITDA

Think of this as selling price as a multiple of EBITDA.

Company 7/31/18 7/31/17 7/31/16
Amedisys 22.41 18.31 23.64
LHC Group 30.17 13.35 11.08
HH Index Average* 26.29 17.65 15.78
Addus 19.51 12.75 9.68

The above calculations are based on selling price being defined as Enterprise Value (EV), with data provided by Capital IQ. Enterprise value is defined as market cap plus debt, minority interest and preferred shares, minus total cash and cash equivalents. EBITDA is calculated using methodology which may differ from that used by a company it’s reporting. (Home Health Index August 2018 | Stoneridge Partners)

Recent Transactions From Around The Country

  • Wellforce, the parent company of Tufts Medical Center, will acquire Home Health Foundation as it expands out of state.
  • Optimal Health Services, a provider in hospice and home health services was acquired by Bristol Hospice.
  • Delphi Behavioral Health Group, a leading nationwide provider of addiction and detox treatment programs, acquired Family Recovery Specialist of Miami, Florida.

Exclusively Listed For Sale By Stoneridge Partners

State
Agency Profile
Status
Reference Number
ArizonaOpportunity to establish hospice in Phoenix area. ACHC-accredited. Available
SBB-8218
California$11 million multi-location addiction treatment center. Located in Southern California. 21% bottom line. Strong growth trends. JCAHO-accredited. Available
SJL-7229
CaliforniaMedicare-certified home health agency established in 2003. $2 million annual revenue in 2018. PDGM revenue-neutral. Located in Southern California. Clean business with no ADRs. Available
SCM-7298
ColoradoOpportunity to establish Medicare home health agency. Denver market. ACHC accreditation until 2022.Available
SJL-7771
FloridaMedicare-certified home health agency. Approximately $3.8 million in revenue with 17% bottom line. Located in Districts 9 and 10. Revenues split evenly between districts. Accredited. 4.5-star quality of patient care rating.Available
SBA-3029
GeorgiaID/DD service provider with $1 million in revenue. Residential and day services offered, located in Atlanta suburb. Available
SBH-6806
Illinois$5.5 million accredited Medicare agency located in northeastern Illinois. Strong bottom line. 4.5-star rating by CMS.Available
SBA-2734

LouisianaBoutique full-service clinical laboratory specializing in preventative diagnostic testing. Medicare- and Medicaid- certified, with insurance contracts in more than 20 southeastern states. Available
SJD-6825
MassachusettsMedicare- and Medicaid-certified home health agency.
$13+ million in annual revenue with continued growth. Diverse payor mix. Strong management in place. Accredited.
Available
SBA-6010
MassachusettsMedicare- and Medicaid-certified home health agency. Motivated seller in western Massachusetts. $7.5 million annual revenue. Great add-on for existing provider. Available
SBB-7607
MichiganMedicare home health and hospice agency. $10 million in annual revenue with numerous referral relationships. Available
SBB-8684
Michigan$2 million ID/DD agency in the Detroit area. Profitable service provider with existing management team in place. Available
SBH-1697
Michigan$1.5 million private duty home health agency in eastern Michigan. Profitable and well-positioned for additional growth. Self-sufficient staff in place. 82 long-term clients. Available
SCM-6034
Mid-Atlantic$10+ million non-skilled home care agency. Primarily Medicaid reimbursed with 20% EBITDA margins. Strong management team in place. Available
SBH-9651
Multi-StateWell-established pediatric provider. Revenue more than $40 million. Medicaid and insurance accepted. Available
SBB-2138
NevadaMedicare-certified home health agency in Las Vegas area. Approximately $1 million in annual revenue. Accredited. Available
SBA-8367
New MexicoHome health and hospice with $15 million in annual revenue. Revenue split is 2/3 home health and 1/3 hospice. Medicare- and Medicaid-certified. Accredited. Available
SBA-5334
New YorkLicensed home care services agency with services in five boroughs. Approximately $20 million in revenue and a long-standing history in the community. Available
SBB-9207
New YorkLicensed home care services agency with $13 million in revenue. 30-year history. Licensed in all five boroughs.Available
SBB-8249
New Mexico$2.5 million New Mexico home health agency. 87% Medicare. Long history in the community and existing staff in place.Available
SBA-5295
North Carolina$1 million ID/DD agency with real estate. Long-term client base, additional growth potential and strong margins. Available
SBH-9905
OklahomaMedicare-certified home health agency with $9.6 million in annual revenue. 98% traditional Medicare and other PPS payors. Medicare- and Medicaid-certified with multiple locations. Available
SBA-6607
SouthTreatment center with 28 beds, intensive outpatient program capacity of 40, full continuum of substance use disorder services and dual diagnosis treatment capability. JCAHO accreditation pending. $4+ million in revenue, highly competitive in-network contracts. Average census of 30. Existing relationships with county, parole, local hospitals, churches and universities. Solid business in desirable location with little area competition.Available
SJD-1118
SouthFull continuum, JCAHO-accredited substance use disorder treatment center on 100+ acre horse ranch. Dual diagnosis treatment capability with 16 beds and 22 staff. $1.5 million EBITDA on $3.5 million in revenue. In-network with great contracts/rates and strong census. Available
SJD-3485
SouthPartial hospitalization treatment program/intensive outpatient program seeking strategic partner. Strong census and revenue growth. No direct competition for niche market. Available
SJD-8349
Southwest$5+ million 37-bed outpatient treatment center. Fully accredited and recently revamped to increase growth and margin. Great census, UR, acquisition and solid numbers. Out of network but transitioning to some in-network.Available
SJD-3448
Southwest64 bed full continuum 64-bed full continuum treatment center in two southwestern US metropolitan cities. JCAHO-accredited and in-network. $4 million pro forma EBITDA run rate based on 30% occupancy with significant growth expected. Strong infrastructure to support growth trajectory.Available
SJD-4008
South-AtlanticHome health agency and adult day care center with $12+ million in annual revenue. Home health represents 85% of revenue while adult day represents 15% of revenue. Home health is primarily a Medicaid business but is Medicare-certified. Accredited. Available
SBA-9973
South TexasHospice with $3.5 million in annual revenue. Accredited. No cap or regulatory issues. Available
SBA-8064
TennesseeVery rare opportunity in a Certificate of Need state, located in Nashville, TN (Davidson County). Projected 2019 revenue in excess of $800,000.Available
SCM-8651
Texas$5.3 million Medicaid agency in San Antonio, TX. 16.5% EBITDA. CHAP-accredited. Staff can remain in place for a smooth transition. Available
SJL-5322
Texas$5.3 million all-Medicaid home care company located in Houston, TX. 20%+ year-over-year revenue growth since 2016. Available
SJL-3670
Texas$3.5 million Medicare certified $3.5 million Medicare certified home health agency located in San Antonio, TX. Fully staffed and CHAP-accredited. Branch office is included in sale.Available
SJL-4824
Texas$1.7 million Medicare home health agency located in Southwest Houston. Well-established with predictable referral sources and revenues. Available
SJL-6080
Texas$1 million Medicare-certified agency licensed in seven counties in the Houston area. 80% traditional Medicare. Available
SBA-1542
USANew software application helping build social connections among patients in recovery and giving them increased access to therapists. Potential investment opportunity. Facilitates total successful recovery and gathers important helpful data.Available
SJD-1777
Virginia$6 million Medicare-certified agency in Northern Virginia. Available
SBA-7366
VirginiaPhysical therapy and wellness operation with $2.3 million in revenue. 95% cash payors. Potential to franchise nationwide. 2018 EBITDA was $257,000. Available
SCM-7368
WestPremier provider of primary mental health services for adolescents aged 13-18 with two locations. Currently growing in-network contracts. Available
SJD-7984
EastHealthcare testing laboratory with $7 million in revenue and $4 million EBITDA. 16 employees, multiple state licenses. Under Contract
SJD-1067
Florida$9.5 million home health agency with strong management, clinical and financial operations. 99% of revenue comes from traditional Medicare. Under Contract
SCM-6925
FloridaMedicare/Medicaid certified home health agency. $2.5 million annual revenue. 5-star. Accredited. District 10.Under Contract
SBA-8305
KentuckyMedication-assisted clinic. Intensive outpatient program counseling for substance abuse and co-occurring disorders. Profitable with strong team in place. 150 clients. 95% Medicaid. Under Contract
STS-1093
KentuckyMedication-assisted treatment center. Suboxone only. Strategic location between Louisville and Lexington, Kentucky. Great reputation with strong clinical team in place. 110 clients with room to grow. In-network contracts. Clients pay $150 per visit for counseling twice per month. Owners are near retirement and will help with the transition. Under Contract
STS-2658
North Carolina$5 million Medicaid agency. $5 million Medicaid agency. CAP/PCS services. Long history of providing quality services. Under Contract
SBB-4927
Pacific NorthwestFull continuum substance use disorder, mental health and gambling addiction treatment center in Washington state with $3,625,000 in revenue and $1,100,000 EBITDA. 40 bed facility with 40 employees. Strong census, full outpatient program and Medicaid payors. Under Contract
SJD-4921
SouthwestProvider of waiver and intermediate care facility ID/DD services with $25 million in annual revenue. Statewide platform with a strong management team and excellent reputation for quality services. Under Contract
SBH-2042
TexasThree Hospice companies with Three hospice companies with affiliated home health and $6 million in total revenue. Locations in south, southcentral, and southeast Texas. Under Contract
SJL-9650
TexasHome health and hospice covering 10 counties in west Texas/eastern New Mexico with $5 million in revenue. No clinical issues, under CAP. Very profitable. Easily separated. Under Contract
SJL-4994
Texas$4 million home health agency based in Dallas/Ft. Worth. Full staff in place. Medicare and managed care with great contacts.Under Contract
SJL-8406
Texas$3+ million hospice agency based in Dallas/Ft. Worth. Well established with full staff in place. Clinically clean and growing. Under Contract
SJL-6009
Texas$1.4 million revenue pediatric Pediatric therapy business with $1.4 million in revenue. Provides physical therapy (PT), occupational therapy (OT) and speech therapy (ST) to disadvantaged and disabled children in a major Texas city and surrounding counties. Positive reputation for providing quality care in a child-friendly environment. Average census is 190 patients with a goal of 225 for calendar year 2019.Under Contract
SCM-3034

Do you know of any acquisitions that have taken place?  We are interested in your comments.  At the top of this column is a “Contact Tab” with a section for comments.  These can be sent anonymously and the return email address can be left blank.

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Home Health Index August 2018 | Stoneridge Partners

From Rich Tinsley, Publisher of “Home Health Index”. Rich can be reached at rich@stoneridgepartners.com or (239) 561-0826 and toll-free 800-218-3944

Previous editions of this monthly newsletter can be searched for at the bottom of the home page of the Home Health Index. Links to Google Finance: Amedisys | LHC Group

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