Home Health Index | 2018 AUGUST UPDATE

Home Health Care Stocks Post Solid Response to PDGM

Home Health Care Stocks Post Solid Response to PDGM

July kicked off with big news for home health agencies when the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) floated plans to both increase payments and overhaul the current prospective payment system with its new Patient-Driven Groupings Model (PDGM).

Overall, positives for the industry appear to have outweighed the negatives as home health care stocks performed strongly in July, according to the latest update of the Home Health Index by Stoneridge Partners.

The Index tracks market values of two of the nation’s largest publicly traded home health care companies: Amedisys (Nasdaq: AMED) and LHC Group (Nasdaq: LHCG).

Largely buoyed by the success of Nashville, Tennessee-based Amedisys, the Index jumped 14.96% in July over the previous month. In doing so, the Index dramatically outpaced the S&P 500, which gained 4.28% and the S&P showed signs of recovery after a down June.

“The proposed payment rule from CMS is projected to increase Medicare payments to home health agencies in calendar year 2019 by $400 million, or 2.1%, so that’s certainly a good sign for providers,” Stoneridge Partners President Rich Tinsley said. “And even though there are still important concerns regarding PDGM, it is a step forward from the Home Health Groupings Model, mainly in the sense that PDGM offers budget neutrality even after CMS’s 2019 2.1% increase.”

Amedisys’ stock climbed 22.98% in July compared to the previous month. Year to date, Amedisys’ stock more than doubled, increasing by 102.28%.

Lafayette, Louisiana-based LHC Group’s stock in July increased by a more modest 6.81%. Year to date, LHC Group’s share value was up 48.82%.

If included in CMS’ final rule, PDGM would be implemented Jan. 1, 2020. Among its major points, PDGM would change the 60-day episode of care unit of payment to 30 days and also stop the practice of using the number of therapy visits provided by home health agencies to determine payment.

In general, Amedisys and LHC Group leadership has expressed confidence in the wake of PDGM, while stating that their respective companies will continue to closely monitor updates related to CMS’ new model.

“This is something the industry was mostly prepared for,” Tinsley said.

Besides Amedisys and LHC Group, the Index also tracks Frisco, Texas-based Addus HomeCare Corporation (Nasdaq: ADUS), though it does not include the company in its monthly report. Most of Addus’ revenue comes from Medicaid and not Medicare.

Addus’ stock increased 18.25% in July compared to the previous month. Year to date, Addus’ stock prices were up 92.67%.

Quote Of The Month 

“Health care consumers—especially those living with chronic conditions—need to be empowered with home-based solutions that can help them stay healthier, out of the hospital, and living safely and comfortably in their own homes.” – Humana spokesperson

Read the Full Article Here: Humana Highlights Home Health’s Value in Reducing Hospital Readmissions

See It To Believe It!

The Stoneridge Partners Home Health Index (HH Index) is updated monthly and measures the performance of these two publicly traded home health companies, all listed on the NASDAQ:

  • LHC Group (LHCG)
  • Amedisys (AMED)

This graph compares the percentage of the Home Health Index to the percentage change in the S&P 500 Index going back to 2002.


This is a 12 month trailing chart of the HH Index compared to the actual prices of the individual companies that make up the chart.

This graph displays HH Index performance since 2002.


This graph compares the HH Index to the price of Addus stock (non-Medicare).
(Home Health Index August 2018 | Stoneridge Partners)

 

Here are the results of the stock prices for the past two years:

Company 7/31/18 1 mos change YTD change 7/31/17 7/31/16
Amedisys 106.62 +22.98% +102.28% 47.36 54.49
LHC Group 91.15 +6.81% +48.82% 57.9 45.39
HH Index* 98.89 +14.96% +75.22% 51.57 46.73
S&P 500 2822.74 +4.28% +5.58% 2470.3 2173.6
Addus 67.05 +18.25% +92.67% 33.95 18.45

Although we track the performance of Addus, they are not included in our HH Index because very little of their revenue comes from Medicare.

 

Enterprise Value (EV)

EV (in M) 7/31/18 7/31/17 7/31/16
Amedisys 3100 1556 1890
LHC Group 3010 1137 911
HH Index Total 6110 4530 3341
Addus 634 399 232


Enterprise Value (EV), aka Selling Price, as Percent of Revenue

Company 7/31/18 7/31/17 7/31/16
Amedisys 201% 105% 144%
LHC Group 272% 121% 110%
HH Index Average* 237% 117% 117%
Addus 149% 97% 67%


Multiples of EV/EBITDA

Think of this as selling price as a multiple of EBITDA.

Company 7/31/18 7/31/17 7/31/16
Amedisys 22.41 18.31 23.64
LHC Group 30.17 13.35 11.08
HH Index Average* 26.29 17.65 15.78
Addus 19.51 12.75 9.68

The above calculations are based on selling price being defined as Enterprise Value (EV), with data provided by Capital IQ. Enterprise value is defined as market cap plus debt, minority interest and preferred shares, minus total cash and cash equivalents. EBITDA is calculated using methodology which may differ from that used by a company it’s reporting. (Home Health Index August 2018 | Stoneridge Partners)

Recent Transactions From Around The Country

  • Wellforce, the parent company of Tufts Medical Center, will acquire Home Health Foundation as it expands out of state.
  • Optimal Health Services, a provider in hospice and home health services was acquired by Bristol Hospice.
  • Delphi Behavioral Health Group, a leading nationwide provider of addiction and detox treatment programs, acquired Family Recovery Specialist of Miami, Florida.

Exclusively Listed For Sale By Stoneridge Partners

State
Agency Profile
Status
Reference Number
Arizona$2+ million home care agency in Southern Arizona. Diverse payor sources (Medicaid/Private Pay/ W/C. Diverse referral sources. Great reputation. Available
SBA-6228
California$4.8 million neuroscience-driving recovery treatment center for traumatic brain injury and SUD. Has helped over 180 professional athletes from the NFL, NHL, NBA and MLB. $1.2 million AEBITDA. Great campus offering full continuum of care. Zero competition in this space.
Available
STS-1907
CaliforniaMedicare certified Home Health agency that was established in 2003. $2 million annual revenue in 2018. PDGM revenue neutral. Located in Southern California. Clean business with no ADR's. Available
SCM-7298
ColoradoOpportunity to establish Medicare home health agency. Denver market. ACHC accreditation until 2022.Available
SJL-7771
Connecticut$6 million Medicaid/Medicare agency. Nice growth trend. Stable margins, great surveys.Available
SBB-3697
Florida$9.5 million Home Health Agency. Very strong operationally, clinically, and financially. 99% of revenue comes from traditional Medicare. Available
SCM-6925
Florida$1.6 million revenue. Pediatric Medicaid agency. Available
SCJ-8520
FloridaMedicare certified home health agency. $1.4 million annual revenue. 4.5-star & Home Care Elite 2 years running. Accredited. District 3. Motivated Seller. Available
SCJ-1730
FloridaMedicare certified home health agency. District 10. Census: Minimal. Accredited.Available
SBA-6994
GeorgiaID/DD Services. $1 million revenue. Residential and Day Services. Atlanta Suburb. Available
SBH-6806
Illinois$5.5 million accredited Medicare agency located in northeastern Illinois. Strong bottom line. 4 1/2 star rating by CMS.Available
SBA-2734

LouisianaBoutique full service clinical laboratory specializing in preventative diagnostic testing.
Medicare & Medicaid certified, and insurance contracts in over 20 Southeast States. Several unique programs and innovative technologies.
Available
SJD-6825
Maryland/DC/VirginiaLarge Medicare & Medicaid home care agency. Poised for continued growth.Available
SBB-7499
MassachusettsMedicare and Medicaid certified Home Health agency.
$13+ million in annual revenue and growing. Diverse payor mix. Strong Management in place. Accredited.
Available
SBA-6010
Michigan$2 million ID/DD. Profitable. Existing management team in place. Greater Detroit area. Available
SBH-1697
Michigan$1.5 million private duty home health agency in eastern Michigan. Profitable and well positioned for additional growth. Self-sufficient staff in place. 82 long-term clients. Available
SCM-6034
New YorkAnnualizing at $1.3 million revenue. 40% Non-Medicare/Private Insurance skilled nursing. 45% Managed LTC. Southern New York. Joint Commission Accreditation.Available
SBA-6824
New Mexico$2.5 million New Mexico home health agency. 87% Medicare. Long history in the community. Staff in place.Available
SBA-5295
North Carolina$5 million Medicaid agency. CAP/PCS services. Long history, quality services. Available
SBB-4927
North Carolina$1 million ID/DD Agency. Long-term client base. Growth potential with real estate. Strong margins. Available
SBH-9905
OhioSoutheastern Ohio. $3.5 million annual revenue. Diverse referral source mix.Available
SBB-4298
Oklahoma$1.7 million ID/DD agency. Long history in the community. Profitable/recent rate increase. Available
SBB-8891
South28 bed, IOP capacity of 40, full continuum SUD treatment center, dual diagnosis, pending JCAHO. $4+ million revenue, highly competitive in network contracts, average census of 30. Existing marketing relationships with county, parole, local hospitals, churches and universities. Solid business in desirable location, little competition, good opportunity. Available
SJD-1118
SouthNational growth opportunity. No direct competition for niche market. Unique program and strong branding. PHP/IOP with census and revenue growth. Seeking strategic partnerAvailable
SJD-8349
Southwest$5+ million outpatient treatment center. Fully accredited. 37 beds. Recently revamped to increase growth and margin. Great census, UR, acquisition and solid numbers. Out of network and transitioning some in network.Available
SJD-3448
Southwest64 bed full continuum treatment center in 2 Southwest US metropolitan cities.
JCAHO accredited.
In-network.
$4 million pro forma EBITDA run rate. 3rd location set to open May 2019. Run rate based on 30% occupancy with significant growth expected. Strong infrastructure to support growth trajectory.
Available
SJD-4008
South-Atlantic$12+ million in annual revenue. Home Health Agency (HHA) and Adult Day Care Center (ADC). HHA (represents 85% of revenue). ADC (represents 15% of revenue). HHA is primarily Medicaid business but is Medicare-certified. Accredited. Available
SBA-9973
South TexasHospice. $3.5 million in annual revenue. Accredited. Clean: No cap or regulatory issues. Available
SBA-8064
Texas$4 million home health agency. Dallas/Ft. Worth based. Full staff in place. Medicare and managed care with great contacts.Available
SJL-8406
Texas$3.5 million all Medicaid Home Care company located in Houston, TX. 20%+ year over year revenue growth since 2016. Nice bottom line.Available
SJL-3670
Texas$2.6 million revenue Home Health agency in East Texas. Great local reputation, with strong financials. 2018 adjusted EBITDA $606,000. Has second license with minimal census available.Available
SCM-9753
Texas$2 million Medicare home health agency in Austin, TX. Offers outstanding reputation and strong management & clinical teams. CHAP accredited & consistently Top 100 or Top 500 Home Care Elite for past 8 years. Available
SJL-5971
Texas$1.7 million Medicare home health agency. Located in Southwest Houston. Well-established with predictable referral sources. Very profitable. Available
SJL-6080
Texas$1.4 million revenue pediatric therapy business. Company provides Physical Therapy (PT), Occupational Therapy (OT), and Speech Therapy (ST) to disadvantaged and disabled children in near a major metropolitan city in Texas and the surrounding counties. Positive reputation for providing quality help in an environment comfortable to the child. Founded in January 2008 as an investment for the owner. Average census is 190 patients with a goal of 225 for calendar year 2019.
Available
SCM-3034
Texas$1 million revenue. Very clean and well established home health agency in the heart of West Texas. Fully staffed and ready for a new owner to step right in.Available
SJL-8770
Texas$1 million Medicare certified agency. Licensed in 7 counties in the Houston area. 80% is traditional Medicare. Available
SBA-1542
Texas$650,000 revenue. Medicare certified. Licensed in 6 counties North of Dallas, TX.Available
SBA-8417
TexasPediatric therapy company in Houston, TX. Census of 165. 75% Medicaid reimbursed. Systems and staff in place. Available
SJL-4615
TexasHome Health agency in Texas. Near Sam Houston National Forest. Clean license with minimal census and minimal revenue. Available
SCM-4098
USANew software application. Potential investment opportunity. Great test results.
Helps connect those in recovery socially. Helps connect therapists to patients. Facilitates total successful recovery and gathers important helpful data.
Available
SJD-1777
Virginia$2.3 million revenue Physical Therapy and Wellness operation. 95% cash pay. Potential to franchise Nationwide. 2018 EBITDA $257,000. Available
SCM-7368
Florida$3.5 million private duty home health agency on Florida's east coast. CHAP accredited. 26 years of outstanding service. Diversified pay mix; Private duty, Workers comp, Private pay, and Long-term care insurance. Strong management and support staff. Under Contract
SCM-8429
FloridaMedicare/Medicaid certified home health agency. $2.5 million annual revenue. 5-star. Accredited. District 10.Under Contract
SBA-8305
Florida$1.5 million non-skilled private duty home health business. Strong management team in place. District 1.Under Contract
SCM-1148
IllinoisHospice. Census in mid-70's. Accredited. Chicago area.Under Contract
SBA-5325
KentuckyMedication-assisted clinic. IOP counseling for substance abuse and co-occurring disorders. Profitable with strong team in place. 150 clients. 95% Medicaid. Under Contract
STS-1093
Minnesota$9 million Medicaid agency. Consistent growth & profitability. Recent rate increase. Attractive Medicaid margin. Under Contract
SBB-7085
New York$13 million revenue LHCSA. 30-year history. Licensed in all 5 boroughs.Under Contract
SBB-8249
Pacific NorthwestFull continuum in Washington State. $3,625,000. revenue with $1,100,000 EBITDA. States has moved from BHO to MCO for Medicaid. Co-occurring, Medicaid paid, 40 bed facility, 40 employees, census is very strong.
Outpatient is full. Opportunity for marketing. SUD mental health gambling. Equine therapy and other perks.
Under Contract
SJD-4921
Pennsylvania$4.3 million revenue. Home health, home care and hospice agency. 18% bottom line. Under Contract
SJL-7605
Texas$3.6 million Hospice, home health and palliative care agency. 90% Traditional Medicare. Service area in 13 counties around Harris County. CHAP accredited. Staff in place. Under Contract
SBA-7440
Southwest$25 million in annual revenue. Provider of Waiver and ICF ID/DD Services. Statewide Platform. Strong management team. Excellent reputation for quality services. Available
SBH-2042
Texas$3+ million hospice agency based in Dallas/Fort Worth. Well established. Clinically clean and growing. Full staff in place. Under Contract
SJL-6009
Texas$2.2 million Dallas-area Medicare home health agency. 22% bottom line. Well-established with a very clean compliance record. Full management team in place. Under Contract
SJL-2228
Virginia$6 million Medicare certified agency in Northern Virginia. Under Contract
SBA-7366

Do you know of any acquisitions that have taken place?  We are interested in your comments.  At the top of this column is a “Contact Tab” with a section for comments.  These can be sent anonymously and the return email address can be left blank.

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Home Health Index August 2018 | Stoneridge Partners

From Rich Tinsley, Publisher of “Home Health Index”. Rich can be reached at rich@stoneridgepartners.com or (239) 561-0826 and toll-free 800-218-3944

Previous editions of this monthly newsletter can be searched for at the bottom of the home page of the Home Health Index. Links to Google Finance: Amedisys | LHC Group

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