Home Health Stocks Falter as Economic Uncertainties Linger
Home Health Stocks Falter as Economic Uncertainties Linger
After surviving market turbulence in January and February 2018, home health share prices failed to experience the same buffer in March. The Home Health Index by Stoneridge Partners, which tracks the market value of the three largest public home health companies — Almost Family (NASDAQ: AFAM), LHC Group (NASDAQ: LHCG) and Amedisys (NASDAQ: AMED) — fell 2.67% last month, roughly tracking the overall stock market. By comparison, the S&P declined 3.10% in March.
The good news: not every company in the HHI experienced stock price declines. Year to date, the HHI is up 5.07%. Amedisys, based in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, saw its stocks climb 2.14%. The increase may be a positive response to news in March that Amedisys received an average Quality of Patient Care Star Rating of 4.22 (out of a possible 5 stars total) from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. That rating is approximately 30% higher than the industry average.
Louisville Kentucky-based Almost Family’s stock fell 5.12%, while Lafayette, Louisiana-based LHC Group experienced a drop of 4.43% during March. On March 29, Almost Family and LHC Group completed their long-discussed merger. The all-stock merger created the second-largest home health provider in the country with an annual revenue of nearly $1.8 billion. Kindred Healthcare (NYSE: KND) remains the largest home health company in the industry, though its home health and hospice business is also undergoing an acquisition by Humana (NYSE: HUM).
However, home health companies may fare better following an April 2 announcement from CMS that non-skilled in-home care supports will be allowed as a supplemental benefit for Medicare Advantage plans in 2019.
“Home health providers surely welcome this change, and this announcement puts companies in a strong position for April and the remainder of 2018,” said Stoneridge Partners President Rich Tinsley. “That’s good news after a rocky March that saw declines in the HHI and S&P 500, as investors reacted to fears over major economic uncertainties, including a potential trade war with China and other countries rattled markets.”
Also of note in the home health industry, Frisco, Texas-based Addus HomeCare (NASDAQ: ADUS) stock prices rose 39% after it announced it achieved a new record for net service revenue during Q4 2017. Addus, a major personal care services provider, is not part of the HHI because little of the company’s revenue comes from Medicare.
Quote Of The Month
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See It To Believe It!
The Stoneridge Partners Home Health Index (HH Index) is updated monthly and measures the performance of these three publicly traded home health companies, all listed on the NASDAQ:
- Almost Family (AFAM)
- LHC Group (LHCG)
- Amedisys (AMED)
This graph compares the percentage of the Home Health Index to the percentage change in the S&P 500 Index going back to 2002.
This is a 12 month trailing chart of the HH Index compared to the actual prices of the individual companies that make up the chart.
This graph displays HH Index performance since 2002.
This graph compares the HH Index to the price of Addus stock (non-Medicare).
(Home Health Index April 2018 | Stoneridge Partners)
Here are the results of the stock prices for the past two years:
|Company||3/31/18||1 mos change||YTD change||3/31/17||3/31/16|
Although we track the performance of Addus, they are not included in our HH Index because very little of their revenue comes from Medicare.
Enterprise Value (EV)
|EV (in M)||3/31/18||3/31/17||3/31/16|
|HH Index Total||4249||3590||2784|
Enterprise Value (EV), aka Selling Price, as Percent of Revenue
|HH Index Average*||123%||121%||103%|
Multiples of EV/EBITDA
Think of this as selling price as a multiple of EBITDA.
|HH Index Average*||18.53||17.84||13.16|
The above calculations are based on selling price being defined as Enterprise Value (EV), with data provided by Capital IQ. Enterprise value is defined as market cap plus debt, minority interest and preferred shares, minus total cash and cash equivalents. EBITDA is calculated using methodology which may differ from that used by a company it’s reporting. (Home Health Index April 2018 | Stoneridge Partners)
Recent Transactions From Around The Country
- Nova Leap Health Corp, based in Halifax, Nova Scotia, an international provider of personal home care and support services acquired the business assets of Home Health Solutions, Inc. located in Holyoke, Massachusetts.
- LHC Group, a Louisiana-based home health care provider has become the second-largest in the United States with the completion of its acquisition of Almost Family, a Kentucky-based firm.
Exclusively Listed For Sale By Stoneridge Partners
|State||Agency Profile||Status||Reference Number
|Arizona||$2+ million home care agency in Southern Arizona. Diverse payor sources (Medicaid/Private Pay/ W/C. Diverse referral sources. Great reputation.||Available|
|California||$4.8 million neuroscience-driving recovery treatment center for traumatic brain injury and SUD. Has helped over 180 professional athletes from the NFL, NHL, NBA and MLB. $1.2 million AEBITDA. Great campus offering full continuum of care. Zero competition in this space.||Available|
|California||Medicare certified Home Health agency that was established in 2003. $2 million annual revenue in 2018. PDGM revenue neutral. Located in Southern California. Clean business with no ADR's.||Available|
|Colorado||Opportunity to establish Medicare home health agency. Denver market. ACHC accreditation until 2022.||Available|
|Connecticut||$6 million Medicaid/Medicare agency. Nice growth trend. Stable margins, great surveys.||Available|
|Florida||$9.5 million Home Health Agency. Very strong operationally, clinically, and financially. 99% of revenue comes from traditional Medicare.||Available|
|Florida||$1.6 million revenue. Pediatric Medicaid agency.||Available|
|Florida||Medicare certified home health agency. $1.4 million annual revenue. 4.5-star & Home Care Elite 2 years running. Accredited. District 3. Motivated Seller.||Available|
|Florida||Medicare certified home health agency. District 10. Census: Minimal. Accredited.||Available|
|Georgia||ID/DD Services. $1 million revenue. Residential and Day Services. Atlanta Suburb.||Available|
|Illinois||$5.5 million accredited Medicare agency located in northeastern Illinois. Strong bottom line. 4 1/2 star rating by CMS.||Available|
|Louisiana||Boutique full service clinical laboratory specializing in preventative diagnostic testing.|
Medicare & Medicaid certified, and insurance contracts in over 20 Southeast States. Several unique programs and innovative technologies.
|Maryland/DC/Virginia||Large Medicare & Medicaid home care agency. Poised for continued growth.||Available|
|Massachusetts||Medicare and Medicaid certified Home Health agency. |
$13+ million in annual revenue and growing. Diverse payor mix. Strong Management in place. Accredited.
|Michigan||$2 million ID/DD. Profitable. Existing management team in place. Greater Detroit area.||Available|
|Michigan||$1.5 million private duty home health agency in eastern Michigan. Profitable and well positioned for additional growth. Self-sufficient staff in place. 82 long-term clients.||Available|
|New York||Annualizing at $1.3 million revenue. 40% Non-Medicare/Private Insurance skilled nursing. 45% Managed LTC. Southern New York. Joint Commission Accreditation.||Available|
|New Mexico||$2.5 million New Mexico home health agency. 87% Medicare. Long history in the community. Staff in place.||Available|
|North Carolina||$5 million Medicaid agency. CAP/PCS services. Long history, quality services.||Available|
|North Carolina||$1 million ID/DD Agency. Long-term client base. Growth potential with real estate. Strong margins.||Available|
|Ohio||Southeastern Ohio. $3.5 million annual revenue. Diverse referral source mix.||Available|
|Oklahoma||$1.7 million ID/DD agency. Long history in the community. Profitable/recent rate increase.||Available|
|South||28 bed, IOP capacity of 40, full continuum SUD treatment center, dual diagnosis, pending JCAHO. $4+ million revenue, highly competitive in network contracts, average census of 30. Existing marketing relationships with county, parole, local hospitals, churches and universities. Solid business in desirable location, little competition, good opportunity.||Available|
|South||National growth opportunity. No direct competition for niche market. Unique program and strong branding. PHP/IOP with census and revenue growth. Seeking strategic partner||Available|
|Southwest||$5+ million outpatient treatment center. Fully accredited. 37 beds. Recently revamped to increase growth and margin. Great census, UR, acquisition and solid numbers. Out of network and transitioning some in network.||Available|
|Southwest||64 bed full continuum treatment center in 2 Southwest US metropolitan cities.|
$4 million pro forma EBITDA run rate. 3rd location set to open May 2019. Run rate based on 30% occupancy with significant growth expected. Strong infrastructure to support growth trajectory.
|South-Atlantic||$12+ million in annual revenue. Home Health Agency (HHA) and Adult Day Care Center (ADC). HHA (represents 85% of revenue). ADC (represents 15% of revenue). HHA is primarily Medicaid business but is Medicare-certified. Accredited.||Available|
|South Texas||Hospice. $3.5 million in annual revenue. Accredited. Clean: No cap or regulatory issues.||Available|
|Texas||$4 million home health agency. Dallas/Ft. Worth based. Full staff in place. Medicare and managed care with great contacts.||Available|
|Texas||$3.5 million all Medicaid Home Care company located in Houston, TX. 20%+ year over year revenue growth since 2016. Nice bottom line.||Available|
|Texas||$2.6 million revenue Home Health agency in East Texas. Great local reputation, with strong financials. 2018 adjusted EBITDA $606,000. Has second license with minimal census available.||Available|
|Texas||$2 million Medicare home health agency in Austin, TX. Offers outstanding reputation and strong management & clinical teams. CHAP accredited & consistently Top 100 or Top 500 Home Care Elite for past 8 years.||Available|
|Texas||$1.7 million Medicare home health agency. Located in Southwest Houston. Well-established with predictable referral sources. Very profitable.||Available|
|Texas||$1.4 million revenue pediatric therapy business. Company provides Physical Therapy (PT), Occupational Therapy (OT), and Speech Therapy (ST) to disadvantaged and disabled children in near a major metropolitan city in Texas and the surrounding counties. Positive reputation for providing quality help in an environment comfortable to the child. Founded in January 2008 as an investment for the owner. Average census is 190 patients with a goal of 225 for calendar year 2019.||Available|
|Texas||$1 million revenue. Very clean and well established home health agency in the heart of West Texas. Fully staffed and ready for a new owner to step right in.||Available|
|Texas||$1 million Medicare certified agency. Licensed in 7 counties in the Houston area. 80% is traditional Medicare.||Available|
|Texas||$650,000 revenue. Medicare certified. Licensed in 6 counties North of Dallas, TX.||Available|
|Texas||Pediatric therapy company in Houston, TX. Census of 165. 75% Medicaid reimbursed. Systems and staff in place.||Available|
|Texas||Home Health agency in Texas. Near Sam Houston National Forest. Clean license with minimal census and minimal revenue.||Available|
|USA||New software application. Potential investment opportunity. Great test results.|
Helps connect those in recovery socially. Helps connect therapists to patients. Facilitates total successful recovery and gathers important helpful data.
|Virginia||$2.3 million revenue Physical Therapy and Wellness operation. 95% cash pay. Potential to franchise Nationwide. 2018 EBITDA $257,000.||Available|
|Florida||$3.5 million private duty home health agency on Florida's east coast. CHAP accredited. 26 years of outstanding service. Diversified pay mix; Private duty, Workers comp, Private pay, and Long-term care insurance. Strong management and support staff.||Under Contract||
|Florida||Medicare/Medicaid certified home health agency. $2.5 million annual revenue. 5-star. Accredited. District 10.||Under Contract||
|Florida||$1.5 million non-skilled private duty home health business. Strong management team in place. District 1.||Under Contract||
|Illinois||Hospice. Census in mid-70's. Accredited. Chicago area.||Under Contract||
|Kentucky||Medication-assisted clinic. IOP counseling for substance abuse and co-occurring disorders. Profitable with strong team in place. 150 clients. 95% Medicaid.||Under Contract||
|Minnesota||$9 million Medicaid agency. Consistent growth & profitability. Recent rate increase. Attractive Medicaid margin.||Under Contract||
|New York||$13 million revenue LHCSA. 30-year history. Licensed in all 5 boroughs.||Under Contract||
|Pacific Northwest||Full continuum in Washington State. $3,625,000. revenue with $1,100,000 EBITDA. States has moved from BHO to MCO for Medicaid. Co-occurring, Medicaid paid, 40 bed facility, 40 employees, census is very strong.|
Outpatient is full. Opportunity for marketing. SUD mental health gambling. Equine therapy and other perks.
|Pennsylvania||$4.3 million revenue. Home health, home care and hospice agency. 18% bottom line.||Under Contract||
|Texas||$3.6 million Hospice, home health and palliative care agency. 90% Traditional Medicare. Service area in 13 counties around Harris County. CHAP accredited. Staff in place.||Under Contract||
|Southwest||$25 million in annual revenue. Provider of Waiver and ICF ID/DD Services. Statewide Platform. Strong management team. Excellent reputation for quality services.||Available||
|Texas||$3+ million hospice agency based in Dallas/Fort Worth. Well established. Clinically clean and growing. Full staff in place.||Under Contract||
|Texas||$2.2 million Dallas-area Medicare home health agency. 22% bottom line. Well-established with a very clean compliance record. Full management team in place.||Under Contract||
|Virginia||$6 million Medicare certified agency in Northern Virginia.||Under Contract||
Do you know of any acquisitions that have taken place? We are interested in your comments. At the top of this column is a “Contact Tab” with a section for comments. These can be sent anonymously and the return email address can be left blank.
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Home Health Index April 2018 | Stoneridge Partners