Home Health Index | 2018 MARCH UPDATE

Home Health Care Stocks Weather Turbulent Market in February

Home Health Stocks Weather Turbulent Market in February

 Home health stocks successfully withstood highly volatile late-January and early-February markets to rebound by month’s end. In fact, the home health index, which tracks the monthly market values of three of the biggest home health care companies—Almost Family (Nasdaq: AFAM), Amedisys (Nasdaq: AMED) and LHC Group (Nasdaq: LHCG)—increased 4.86%  last month. Home health stocks fared far better than the S&P 500, which actually declined 3.77% in February.

 February was marked by a two-year budget deal that contained many health care provisions impacting the home health care industry. The deal was signed into law Feb. 9. The budget included provisions for a new payment model for home health by 2020 that was budget neutral, unlike the previous home health groupings (HHGM) model. The HHGM model, as it was originally proposed in 2017, would have potentially cut up to $950 million from in payments to the industry.

 “The home health care sector was buoyed by overall good news within the Bipartisan Budget Act of 2018,” said Stoneridge Partners President Rich Tinsley. “The new payment reform revisions position the home health industry for a strong 2018. Despite significant regulatory changes, the market rewarded the sector’s increased stability in February.”

 Baton Rouge, Louisiana-based Amedisys saw the largest gains in February. Stocks rose 11.97%. Year-to-date, Amedisys stock prices are up 12.33%.

Almost Family, based in Louisville, Kentucky, posted the second-largest gains last month, as stock prices increased 2.34%. Finally, LHC Group saw stocks rise 1.23%. The merger between Almost Family and LHC Group is back on track after hitting a road bump last month. The planned merger is now expected to close in the summer of 2018.

However, not all home health companies had good news to celebrate when February came to a close. Addus Homecare Corporation (Nasdaq: ADUS), which is not part of the HHI because very little of the company’s income comes Medicare, saw stocks fall 6.15%. Year-to-date, Addus stock is down 1.29%.   Also in February,  Addus HomeCare Corporation (NASDAQ: ADUS), a provider of comprehensive home care services, had positive news to announce with the signing of a definitive agreement to purchase Ambercare Corporation, Inc., a provider of personal care, hospice and home health services, headquartered in Albuquerque, New Mexico.

Quote Of The Month 

“Home care can relieve pressure on hospitals where many patients are occupying hospital beds when they could and should be in the comfort of their own homes. Families go in desperation to the emergency room when they, as caregivers, have burned out and don’t know where else to turn. Hospitals run out of beds but can’t discharge a patient without knowing the person has a safety net.” said Sue VanderBent, CEO of Home Care Ontario.

Read the Full Article Here: Home Care could be answer to hospital overcrowding

See It To Believe It!

The Stoneridge Partners Home Health Index (HH Index) is updated monthly and measures the performance of these three publicly traded home health companies, all listed on the NASDAQ:

  • Almost Family (AFAM)
  • LHC Group (LHCG)
  • Amedisys (AMED)

This graph compares the percentage of the Home Health Index to the percentage change in the S&P 500 Index going back to 2002.


This is a 12 month trailing chart of the HH Index compared to the actual prices of the individual companies that make up the chart.

This graph displays HH Index performance since 2002.


This graph compares the HH Index to the price of Addus stock (non-Medicare).
(Home Health Index March 2018 | Stoneridge Partners)

 

Here are the results of the stock prices for the past two years:

Company 2/28/18 1 mos change YTD change 2/28/17 2/28/16
Almost Family 58.95 +2.34% +6.50% 49.85 38.58
Amedisys 59.21 +11.97% +12.33% 51.2 38.2
LHC Group 64.38 +1.23% +5.11% 48.52 36.84
HH Index* 60.85 +4.86% +7.81% 49.86 37.87
S&P 500 2718.5 -3.77% +1.68% 2396.96 1948.05
Addus 34.35 -6.15% -1.29% 33.7 23.41

Although we track the performance of Addus, they are not included in our HH Index because very little of their revenue comes from Medicare.

 

Enterprise Value (EV)

EV (in M) 2/28/18 2/28/17 2/28/16
Almost Family 948 645 456
Amedisys 2020 1700 1330
LHC Group 1310 949 693
HH Index Total 4278 3294 2480
Addus 410 352 246


Enterprise Value (EV), aka Selling Price, as Percent of Revenue

Company 2/28/18 2/28/17 2/28/16
Almost Family 119% 105% 89%
Amedisys 134% 123% 108%
LHC Group 131% 108% 90%
HH Index Average* 128& 112% 96%
Addus 99% 92% 74%


Multiples of EV/EBITDA

Think of this as selling price as a multiple of EBITDA.

Company 2/28/18 2/28/17 2/28/16
Almost Family 26.99 13.87 12.44
Amedisys 16.08 21.47 14.92
LHC Group 13.99 11.52 8.94
HH Index Average* 19.02 15.62 12.10
Addus 12.02 13.28 10.28

The above calculations are based on selling price being defined as Enterprise Value (EV), with data provided by Capital IQ. Enterprise value is defined as market cap plus debt, minority interest and preferred shares, minus total cash and cash equivalents. EBITDA is calculated using methodology which may differ from that used by a company it’s reporting. (Home Health Index March 2018 | Stoneridge Partners)

Recent Transactions From Around The Country

  • Nova Leap Health Corp, based in Halifax, Nova Scotia, an international provider of personal home care and support services acquired Family Tree Home Care, based in Central Massachusetts.
  • Traditions Healthcare Holding Company, LLC, a portfolio company of Dorilton Capital Advisors, LLC acquired ProCare Hospice Corp., based in Oxnard, California.

Signed Deal by Stoneridge

  • Addus HomeCare increases presence in New Mexico with agreement to purchase Ambercare Corporation.  Sell side advisory services during the acquisition was provided by Partner Ben Bogan and Associate Partner Charles Jantzi. See article here: Addus HomeCare increases presence in New Mexico

Exclusively Listed For Sale By Stoneridge Partners

State
Agency Profile
Status
Reference Number
ArizonaOpportunity to establish hospice in Phoenix area. ACHC-accredited. Available
SBB-8218
California$11 million multi-location addiction treatment center. Located in Southern California. 21% bottom line. Strong growth trends. JCAHO-accredited. Available
SJL-7229
CaliforniaMedicare-certified home health agency established in 2003. $2 million annual revenue in 2018. PDGM revenue-neutral. Located in Southern California. Clean business with no ADRs. Available
SCM-7298
ColoradoOpportunity to establish Medicare home health agency. Denver market. ACHC accreditation until 2022.Available
SJL-7771
FloridaMedicare-certified home health agency. Approximately $3.8 million in revenue with 17% bottom line. Located in Districts 9 and 10. Revenues split evenly between districts. Accredited. 4.5-star quality of patient care rating.Available
SBA-3029
GeorgiaID/DD service provider with $1 million in revenue. Residential and day services offered, located in Atlanta suburb. Available
SBH-6806
Illinois$5.5 million accredited Medicare agency located in northeastern Illinois. Strong bottom line. 4.5-star rating by CMS.Available
SBA-2734

LouisianaBoutique full-service clinical laboratory specializing in preventative diagnostic testing. Medicare- and Medicaid- certified, with insurance contracts in more than 20 southeastern states. Available
SJD-6825
MassachusettsMedicare- and Medicaid-certified home health agency.
$13+ million in annual revenue with continued growth. Diverse payor mix. Strong management in place. Accredited.
Available
SBA-6010
MassachusettsMedicare- and Medicaid-certified home health agency. Motivated seller in western Massachusetts. $7.5 million annual revenue. Great add-on for existing provider. Available
SBB-7607
MichiganMedicare home health and hospice agency. $10 million in annual revenue with numerous referral relationships. Available
SBB-8684
Michigan$2 million ID/DD agency in the Detroit area. Profitable service provider with existing management team in place. Available
SBH-1697
Michigan$1.5 million private duty home health agency in eastern Michigan. Profitable and well-positioned for additional growth. Self-sufficient staff in place. 82 long-term clients. Available
SCM-6034
Mid-Atlantic$10+ million non-skilled home care agency. Primarily Medicaid reimbursed with 20% EBITDA margins. Strong management team in place. Available
SBH-9651
Multi-StateWell-established pediatric provider. Revenue more than $40 million. Medicaid and insurance accepted. Available
SBB-2138
NevadaMedicare-certified home health agency in Las Vegas area. Approximately $1 million in annual revenue. Accredited. Available
SBA-8367
New MexicoHome health and hospice with $15 million in annual revenue. Revenue split is 2/3 home health and 1/3 hospice. Medicare- and Medicaid-certified. Accredited. Available
SBA-5334
New YorkLicensed home care services agency with services in five boroughs. Approximately $20 million in revenue and a long-standing history in the community. Available
SBB-9207
New YorkLicensed home care services agency with $13 million in revenue. 30-year history. Licensed in all five boroughs.Available
SBB-8249
New Mexico$2.5 million New Mexico home health agency. 87% Medicare. Long history in the community and existing staff in place.Available
SBA-5295
North Carolina$1 million ID/DD agency with real estate. Long-term client base, additional growth potential and strong margins. Available
SBH-9905
OklahomaMedicare-certified home health agency with $9.6 million in annual revenue. 98% traditional Medicare and other PPS payors. Medicare- and Medicaid-certified with multiple locations. Available
SBA-6607
SouthTreatment center with 28 beds, intensive outpatient program capacity of 40, full continuum of substance use disorder services and dual diagnosis treatment capability. JCAHO accreditation pending. $4+ million in revenue, highly competitive in-network contracts. Average census of 30. Existing relationships with county, parole, local hospitals, churches and universities. Solid business in desirable location with little area competition.Available
SJD-1118
SouthFull continuum, JCAHO-accredited substance use disorder treatment center on 100+ acre horse ranch. Dual diagnosis treatment capability with 16 beds and 22 staff. $1.5 million EBITDA on $3.5 million in revenue. In-network with great contracts/rates and strong census. Available
SJD-3485
SouthPartial hospitalization treatment program/intensive outpatient program seeking strategic partner. Strong census and revenue growth. No direct competition for niche market. Available
SJD-8349
Southwest$5+ million 37-bed outpatient treatment center. Fully accredited and recently revamped to increase growth and margin. Great census, UR, acquisition and solid numbers. Out of network but transitioning to some in-network.Available
SJD-3448
Southwest64 bed full continuum 64-bed full continuum treatment center in two southwestern US metropolitan cities. JCAHO-accredited and in-network. $4 million pro forma EBITDA run rate based on 30% occupancy with significant growth expected. Strong infrastructure to support growth trajectory.Available
SJD-4008
South-AtlanticHome health agency and adult day care center with $12+ million in annual revenue. Home health represents 85% of revenue while adult day represents 15% of revenue. Home health is primarily a Medicaid business but is Medicare-certified. Accredited. Available
SBA-9973
South TexasHospice with $3.5 million in annual revenue. Accredited. No cap or regulatory issues. Available
SBA-8064
TennesseeVery rare opportunity in a Certificate of Need state, located in Nashville, TN (Davidson County). Projected 2019 revenue in excess of $800,000.Available
SCM-8651
Texas$5.3 million Medicaid agency in San Antonio, TX. 16.5% EBITDA. CHAP-accredited. Staff can remain in place for a smooth transition. Available
SJL-5322
Texas$5.3 million all-Medicaid home care company located in Houston, TX. 20%+ year-over-year revenue growth since 2016. Available
SJL-3670
Texas$3.5 million Medicare certified $3.5 million Medicare certified home health agency located in San Antonio, TX. Fully staffed and CHAP-accredited. Branch office is included in sale.Available
SJL-4824
Texas$1.7 million Medicare home health agency located in Southwest Houston. Well-established with predictable referral sources and revenues. Available
SJL-6080
Texas$1 million Medicare-certified agency licensed in seven counties in the Houston area. 80% traditional Medicare. Available
SBA-1542
USANew software application helping build social connections among patients in recovery and giving them increased access to therapists. Potential investment opportunity. Facilitates total successful recovery and gathers important helpful data.Available
SJD-1777
Virginia$6 million Medicare-certified agency in Northern Virginia. Available
SBA-7366
VirginiaPhysical therapy and wellness operation with $2.3 million in revenue. 95% cash payors. Potential to franchise nationwide. 2018 EBITDA was $257,000. Available
SCM-7368
WestPremier provider of primary mental health services for adolescents aged 13-18 with two locations. Currently growing in-network contracts. Available
SJD-7984
EastHealthcare testing laboratory with $7 million in revenue and $4 million EBITDA. 16 employees, multiple state licenses. Under Contract
SJD-1067
Florida$9.5 million home health agency with strong management, clinical and financial operations. 99% of revenue comes from traditional Medicare. Under Contract
SCM-6925
FloridaMedicare/Medicaid certified home health agency. $2.5 million annual revenue. 5-star. Accredited. District 10.Under Contract
SBA-8305
KentuckyMedication-assisted clinic. Intensive outpatient program counseling for substance abuse and co-occurring disorders. Profitable with strong team in place. 150 clients. 95% Medicaid. Under Contract
STS-1093
KentuckyMedication-assisted treatment center. Suboxone only. Strategic location between Louisville and Lexington, Kentucky. Great reputation with strong clinical team in place. 110 clients with room to grow. In-network contracts. Clients pay $150 per visit for counseling twice per month. Owners are near retirement and will help with the transition. Under Contract
STS-2658
North Carolina$5 million Medicaid agency. $5 million Medicaid agency. CAP/PCS services. Long history of providing quality services. Under Contract
SBB-4927
Pacific NorthwestFull continuum substance use disorder, mental health and gambling addiction treatment center in Washington state with $3,625,000 in revenue and $1,100,000 EBITDA. 40 bed facility with 40 employees. Strong census, full outpatient program and Medicaid payors. Under Contract
SJD-4921
SouthwestProvider of waiver and intermediate care facility ID/DD services with $25 million in annual revenue. Statewide platform with a strong management team and excellent reputation for quality services. Under Contract
SBH-2042
TexasThree Hospice companies with Three hospice companies with affiliated home health and $6 million in total revenue. Locations in south, southcentral, and southeast Texas. Under Contract
SJL-9650
TexasHome health and hospice covering 10 counties in west Texas/eastern New Mexico with $5 million in revenue. No clinical issues, under CAP. Very profitable. Easily separated. Under Contract
SJL-4994
Texas$4 million home health agency based in Dallas/Ft. Worth. Full staff in place. Medicare and managed care with great contacts.Under Contract
SJL-8406
Texas$3+ million hospice agency based in Dallas/Ft. Worth. Well established with full staff in place. Clinically clean and growing. Under Contract
SJL-6009
Texas$1.4 million revenue pediatric Pediatric therapy business with $1.4 million in revenue. Provides physical therapy (PT), occupational therapy (OT) and speech therapy (ST) to disadvantaged and disabled children in a major Texas city and surrounding counties. Positive reputation for providing quality care in a child-friendly environment. Average census is 190 patients with a goal of 225 for calendar year 2019.Under Contract
SCM-3034

Do you know of any acquisitions that have taken place?  We are interested in your comments.  At the top of this column is a “Contact Tab” with a section for comments.  These can be sent anonymously and the return email address can be left blank.

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Home Health Index March 2018 | Stoneridge Partners

From Rich Tinsley, Publisher of “Home Health Index”. Rich can be reached at rich@stoneridgepartners.com or (239) 561-0826 and toll-free 800-218-3944

Previous editions of this monthly newsletter can be searched for at the bottom of the home page of the Home Health Index. Links to Google Finance: Almost Family | Amedisys | LHC Group

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