Home Health Index | 2017 NOVEMBER UPDATE

Home Health Care Stocks Slipped Before HHGM Decision

Home health care stocks fell sharply in October, perhaps on jitters related to the then-forthcoming home health groupings model (HHGM) decision, according to the latest data in the Home Health Index tracked by Stoneridge Partners. But the decision ultimately fell in the industry’s favor: The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) on Nov. 1 released its final rule for the home health care prospective payment system (PPS) 2018 update without finalizing HHGM.

In the weeks leading up to the decision, however, the index reflected nervous anticipation among home health companies. The index, which tracks market values of three of the largest publicly traded home health care companies in the U.S.—Almost Family (Nasdaq: AFAM), Amedisys (Nasdaq: AMED) and LHC Group (Nasdaq: LHCG)—dropped 11.73% in October compared to the previous month.

The Index lagged behind the S&P 500, which ticked up 2.23% in October. And October’s drop is another sharp contrast to the Index’s rebound seen in September.

Investors were likely on edge over HHGM, which threatened to upend the home health payment system, cutting hundreds of millions in payments within its proposed changes.

“The big news here is what happened with HHGM,” said Stoneridge President Rich Tinsley. “That should overshadow many of the month’s losses. Investors can be confident HHGM is off the table for the immediate future.”

Lafayette, Louisiana-based LHC Group’s stock shed 6.16% in October. Year to date, LHC Group’s stock has climbed 45.62%, which is the largest yearly gain on the Index.

Amedisys, meanwhile, lost the most value in October. The Baton Rouge, Louisiana-based company’s stock value tumbled 16.99% in the month. Year to date, its share prices are still up 8.96%, according to the Index.

Louisville, Kentucky-based Almost Family also saw its stock value sag in October. The company lost 13.59% that month, erasing some of its 2017 gains. The company’s year-to-date share value was up just 5.22% in October.

Addus HomeCare (Nasdaq: ADUS), which is not included in the index because so little of its income comes from Medicare, saw no change in its share value in October. Year to date, Addus’s stock price has risen 0.71%.

 

Quote Of The Month 

“There’s an inaccurate perception among the American public that hospice means you’ve given up.  Those of us who have worked in the field have seen firsthand how hospice and palliative care can improve the quality of life. There’s a growing body of research showing that hospice and palliative care may prolong the lives of some people who receive care.  However, all too often, families sign on with hospice very late in the process. We often hear: I wish we had known about you sooner!” – J. Donald Schumacher, president and CEO of the National Hospice and Palliative Care Organization.

Read the Full Article Here: November is National Home Health, Hospice and Palliative Care Month

See It To Believe It!

The Stoneridge Partners Home Health Index (HH Index) is updated monthly and measures the performance of these three publicly traded home health companies, all listed on the NASDAQ:

  • Almost Family (AFAM)
  • LHC Group (LHCG)
  • Amedisys (AMED)

This graph compares the percentage of the Home Health Index to the percentage change in the S&P 500 Index for over 14 years, going back to 2002.


This is a 12 month trailing chart of the HH Index compared to the actual prices of the individual companies that make up the chart.

This graph displays HH Index performance over the past 24 months.


This graph compares the HH Index to the price of Addus stock (non-Medicare).
(Home Health Index November 2017 | Stoneridge Partners)

 

Here are the results of the stock prices for the past two years:

Company 10/31/17 1 mos change YTD change 10/31/16 10/31/15
Almost Family 46.40 -13.59% +5.22% 36.63 41.50
Amedisys 46.45 -16.99% +8.96% 49.49 39.58
LHC Group 66.55 -6.16% +45.62% 35.93 45.06
HH Index* 53.13 -11.73% +20.37% 40.68 42.05
S&P 500 2575.5 +2.23% +15.04% 2179.98 2079.36
Addus 35.30 0% +0.71% 24.87 24.98

Although we track the performance of Addus, they are not included in our HH Index because very little of their revenue comes from Medicare.

 

Enterprise Value (EV)

EV (in M) 10/31/17 10/31/16
Almost Family 752 515
Amedisys 1660 1730
LHC Group 1300 735
HH Index Total 3712 2980
Addus 444 313


Enterprise Value (EV), aka Selling Price, as Percent of Revenue

Company 10/31/17 10/31/16
Almost Family 105% 92%
Amedisys 114% 113%
LHC Group 135% 86%
HH Index Average* 118% 97%
Addus 108% 87%


Multiples of EV/EBITDA

Think of this as selling price as a multiple of EBITDA.

Company 10/31/17 10/31/16
Almost Family 18.63 12.93
Amedisys 15.8 18.45
LHC Group 14.13 9.14
HH Index Average* 16.19 13.51
Addus 13.3 12.94

The above calculations are based on selling price being defined as Enterprise Value (EV), with data provided by Capital IQ. Enterprise value is defined as market cap plus debt, minority interest and preferred shares, minus total cash and cash equivalents. EBITDA is calculated using methodology which may differ from that used by a company it’s reporting. (Home Health Index November 2017 | Stoneridge Partners)

SOLD by Stoneridge!

  • Stoneridge represented a private pay home care company in Florida in a transaction that closed in October, 2017. Partner, Ben Bogan, provided sell-side advisory services for this transaction.

Recent Transactions From Around The Country

  • Odyssey Behavioral Healthcare, a portfolio company of Nautic Partners, acquired Selah House, an eating disorder treatment center for women in Anderson, Indiana.
  • Invo Healthcare, a portfolio company of The Wicks Group, The Jordan Company and Post Capital Partners announced the acquisition of Autism Home Support Services, a leading provider of home and center-based Applied Behavioral Analysis (“ABA”) therapy to children diagnosed with autism spectrum disorder.
  • Magellan Health, Inc. announced the acquisition of Senior Whole Health, a company focused on serving complex, high-risk populations.

Exclusively Listed For Sale By Stoneridge Partners

State
Agency Profile
Status
Reference Number
Arizona$2+ million home care agency in Southern Arizona. Diverse payor sources (Medicaid/Private Pay/ W/C. Diverse referral sources. Great reputation. Available
SBA-6228
California$4.8 million neuroscience-driving recovery treatment center for traumatic brain injury and SUD. Has helped over 180 professional athletes from the NFL, NHL, NBA and MLB. $1.2 million AEBITDA. Great campus offering full continuum of care. Zero competition in this space.
Available
STS-1907
CaliforniaMedicare certified Home Health agency that was established in 2003. $2 million annual revenue in 2018. PDGM revenue neutral. Located in Southern California. Clean business with no ADR's. Available
SCM-7298
CaliforniaGrowing $1.9 million revenue. Private pay. Independently owned. Full staff in place. Available
SJL-4483
California$1.6 million Hospice located in Los Angeles County. Consistent census of 25 patients over the last 3 years. Joint commission accredited. Strong bottom line with staff in place. Available
SCM-9679
California32 bed detox and residential treatment center. Great location and setup. In network. Large growth with a waiting list. Seeking loan/debt investment. Attractive income option for investor. Available
SJD-2449
Connecticut$6 million Medicaid/Medicare agency. Nice growth trend. Stable margins, great surveys.Available
SBB-3697
Florida$9.5 million Home Health Agency. Very strong operationally, clinically, and financially. 99% of revenue comes from traditional Medicare. Available
SCM-6925
Florida$1.6 million revenue. Pediatric Medicaid agency. Available
SCJ-8520
FloridaMedicare certified home health agency. $1.4 million annual revenue. 4.5-star & Home Care Elite 2 years running. Accredited. District 3. Motivated Seller. Under Contract
SCJ-1730
GeorgiaID/DD Services. $1 million revenue. Residential and Day Services. Atlanta Suburb. Available
SBH-6806
Illinois$5.5 million accredited Medicare agency located in northeastern Illinois. Strong bottom line. 4 1/2 star rating by CMS.Available
SBA-2734

Illinois$2.8 million Home Health agency. 100% Medicare. Loyal caregiver and patient base. Available
SCM-3291
IllinoisHospice. Census in mid-70's. Accredited. Chicago area.Available
SBA-5325
LouisianaBoutique full service clinical laboratory specializing in preventative diagnostic testing.
Medicare & Medicaid certified, and insurance contracts in over 20 Southeast States. Several unique programs and innovative technologies.
Available
SJD-6825
Maryland/DC/VirginiaLarge Medicare & Medicaid home care agency. Poised for continued growth.Available
SBB-7499
MassachusettsMedicare and Medicaid certified Home Health agency.
$13+ million in annual revenue and growing. Diverse payor mix. Strong Management in place. Accredited.
Available
SBA-6010
Michigan$1.5 million private duty home health agency in eastern Michigan. Profitable and well positioned for additional growth. Self-sufficient staff in place. 82 long-term clients. Available
SCM-6034
Minnesota$9 million Medicaid agency. Consistent growth & profitability. Recent rate increase. Attractive Medicaid margin. Available
SBB-7085
New YorkAnnualizing at $1.3 million revenue. 40% Non-Medicare/Private Insurance skilled nursing. 45% Managed LTC. Southern New York. Joint Commission Accreditation.Available
SBA-6824
New Mexico$2.5 million New Mexico home health agency. 87% Medicare. Long history in the community. Staff in place.Available
SBA-5295
North Carolina$1 million ID/DD Agency. Long-term client base. Growth potential with real estate. Strong margins. Available
SBH-9905
OhioSoutheastern Ohio. $3.5 million annual revenue. Diverse referral source mix.Available
SBB-4298
Oklahoma$1.7 million ID/DD agency. Long history in the community. Profitable/recent rate increase. Available
SBB-8891
Pacific NorthwestFull continuum in Washington State. $3,625,000. revenue with $1,100,000 EBITDA. States has moved from BHO to MCO for Medicaid. Co-occurring, Medicaid paid, 40 bed facility, 40 employees, census is very strong.
Outpatient is full. Opportunity for marketing. SUD mental health gambling. Equine therapy and other perks.
Available
SJD-4921
South28 bed, IOP capacity of 40, full continuum SUD treatment center, dual diagnosis, pending JCAHO. $4+ million revenue, highly competitive in network contracts, average census of 30. Existing marketing relationships with county, parole, local hospitals, churches and universities. Solid business in desirable location, little competition, good opportunity. Available
SJD-1118
SouthNational growth opportunity. No direct competition for niche market. Unique program and strong branding. PHP/IOP with census and revenue growth. Seeking strategic partnerAvailable
SJD-8349
Southwest$25 million in annual revenue. Provider of Waiver and ICF ID/DD Services. Statewide Platform. Strong management team. Excellent reputation for quality services. Available
SBH-2042
Southwest$5+ million outpatient treatment center. Fully accredited. 37 beds. Recently revamped to increase growth and margin. Great census, UR, acquisition and solid numbers. Out of network and transitioning some in network.Available
SJD-3448
Southwest64 bed full continuum treatment center in 2 Southwest US metropolitan cities.
JCAHO accredited.
In-network.
$4 million pro forma EBITDA run rate. 3rd location set to open May 2019. Run rate based on 30% occupancy with significant growth expected. Strong infrastructure to support growth trajectory.
Available
SJD-4008
South-Atlantic$12+ million in annual revenue. Home Health Agency (HHA) and Adult Day Care Center (ADC). HHA (represents 85% of revenue). ADC (represents 15% of revenue). HHA is primarily Medicaid business but is Medicare-certified. Accredited. Available
SBA-9973
South TexasHospice. $3.5 million in annual revenue. Accredited. Clean: No cap or regulatory issues. Available
SBA-8064
Texas$2.6 million revenue Home Health agency in East Texas. Great local reputation, with strong financials. 2018 adjusted EBITDA $606,000. Has second license with minimal census available.Available
SCM-9753
Texas$2 million Medicare home health agency in Austin, TX. Offers outstanding reputation and strong management & clinical teams. CHAP accredited & consistently Top 100 or Top 500 Home Care Elite for past 8 years. Available
SJL-5971
Texas$1.7 million Medicare home health agency. Located in Southwest Houston. Well-established with predictable referral sources. Very profitable. Available
SJL-6080
Texas48 bed full continuum treatment campus, all in-network. Established management team, 3-year CARF Accredited. $1.7 million of AEBITDA on $6 million of revenue. Major metropolitan market. Great asset for a strategic buyer.
Available
STS-5370
Texas$1.4 million revenue pediatric therapy business. Company provides Physical Therapy (PT), Occupational Therapy (OT), and Speech Therapy (ST) to disadvantaged and disabled children in near a major metropolitan city in Texas and the surrounding counties. Positive reputation for providing quality help in an environment comfortable to the child. Founded in January 2008 as an investment for the owner. Average census is 190 patients with a goal of 225 for calendar year 2019.
Available
SCM-3034
Texas$1 million revenue. Very clean and well established home health agency in the heart of West Texas. Fully staffed and ready for a new owner to step right in.Available
SJL-8770
Texas$1 million Medicare certified agency. Licensed in 7 counties in the Houston area. 80% is traditional Medicare. Available
SBA-1542
Texas$650,000 revenue. Medicare certified. Licensed in 6 counties North of Dallas, TX.Available
SBA-8417
TexasPediatric therapy company in Houston, TX. Census of 165. 75% Medicaid reimbursed. Systems and staff in place. Available
SJL-4615
TexasHome Health agency in Texas. Near Sam Houston National Forest. Clean license with minimal census and minimal revenue. Available
SCM-4098
TexasClean hospice provider number. Located in West Texas.Available
SJL-2984
USANew software application. Potential investment opportunity. Great test results.
Helps connect those in recovery socially. Helps connect therapists to patients. Facilitates total successful recovery and gathers important helpful data.
Available
SJD-1777
Virginia$2.3 million revenue Physical Therapy and Wellness operation. 95% cash pay. Potential to franchise Nationwide. 2018 EBITDA $257,000. Available
SCM-7368
Florida$3.5 million private duty home health agency on Florida's east coast. CHAP accredited. 26 years of outstanding service. Diversified pay mix; Private duty, Workers comp, Private pay, and Long-term care insurance. Strong management and support staff. Under Contract
SCM-8429
FloridaMedicare/Medicaid certified home health agency. $2.5 million annual revenue. 5-star. Accredited. District 10.Under Contract
SBA-8305
Florida$1.5 million non-skilled private duty home health business. Strong management team in place. District 1.Under Contract
SCM-1148
KentuckyMedication-assisted clinic. IOP counseling for substance abuse and co-occurring disorders. Profitable with strong team in place. 150 clients. 95% Medicaid. Under Contract
STS-1093
New York$13 million revenue LHCSA. 30-year history. Licensed in all 5 boroughs.Under Contract
SBB-8249
OklahomaHome Care Agency. Approximately $1.5 million in annual revenue. Predominantly private pay with some LTC, VA, and WC. Outstanding clinical. Great reputation. Under Contract
SBA-2761
Pennsylvania$4.3 million revenue. Home health, home care and hospice agency. 18% bottom line. Under Contract
SJL-7605
Texas$3.6 million Hospice, home health and palliative care agency. 90% Traditional Medicare. Service area in 13 counties around Harris County. CHAP accredited. Staff in place. Under Contract
SBA-7440
Texas$3.5 million all Medicaid Home Care company located in Houston, TX. 20%+ year over year revenue growth since 2016. Nice bottom line.Under Contract
SJL-3670
Texas$3+ million hospice agency based in Dallas/Fort Worth. Well established. Clinically clean and growing. Full staff in place. Under Contract
SJL-6009
Texas$2.2 million Dallas-area Medicare home health agency. 22% bottom line. Well-established with a very clean compliance record. Full management team in place. Under Contract
SJL-2228
Virginia$6 million Medicare certified agency in Northern Virginia. Under Contract
SBA-7366

Do you know of any acquisitions that have taken place?  We are interested in your comments.  At the top of this column is a “Contact Tab” with a section for comments.  These can be sent anonymously and the return email address can be left blank.

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Home Health Index November 2017 | Stoneridge Partners

From Rich Tinsley, Publisher of “Home Health Index”. Rich can be reached at rich@stoneridgepartners.com or (239) 561-0826 and toll-free 800-218-3944

Previous editions of this monthly newsletter can be searched for at the bottom of the home page of the Home Health Index. Links to Google Finance: Almost Family | Amedisys | LHC Group

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